MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ffd4e5a2a0cec17d57eb96fa26ef7df5d4c5d04a299f70b2a8fa045750ed9d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof Toronto Blue Jays, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $285,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $299,303

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,252 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	68c	74,293$50,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,143.26	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	43,978$19,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,160.75	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	41,252$18,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,150.75	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Washington Nationals	56c	23,048$12,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,140.95	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+11.8wins	+0.23per pick	54cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays	8c	16,860$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.92	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays	15c	15,310$2,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,297.26	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	56c	10,714$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,714.29	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Toronto Blue Jays	22c	5,917$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.98	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Toronto Blue Jays	5c	5,208$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.78	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays	13c	5,153$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.64	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	27c	5,022$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.98	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals	56c	4,000$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,759.98	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals	72c	3,869$2,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.61	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Washington Nationals	66c	3,776$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275.74	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Washington Nationals	57c	3,511$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.74	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays	34c	3,479$1,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,167.9	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays	17c	3,127$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.19	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Toronto Blue Jays	4c	3,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	174	17.2%30 W · 144 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	2,745$1,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,207.76	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Washington Nationals	57c	2,630$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.04	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	2,545$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.8	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays	11c	2,475$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.53	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	2,248$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.65	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays	17c	2,077$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.88	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Toronto Blue Jays	43c	2,000$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	56c	1,922$1,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.19	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Toronto Blue Jays	9c	1,727$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.47	556	45.3%252 W · 304 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	4c	1,560$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	266	18.4%49 W · 217 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals	71c	1,559$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.64	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals	75c	1,318$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.49	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays	18c	1,295$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.04	3,456	51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L	+107.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals	68c	1,252$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.57	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays	12c	1,201$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.16	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	1,023$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Toronto Blue Jays	43c	999.98$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.99	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Washington Nationals	57c	975$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.25	186	49.5%92 W · 94 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	928.97$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.83	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays	28c	891.48$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.01	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Washington Nationals	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Washington Nationals	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49e…e5e8backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	833.33$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington Nationals	57c	819.3$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.3	179	61.5%110 W · 69 L	+16.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays	16c	811.5$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.37	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	800$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Toronto Blue Jays	15c	658$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.02	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Toronto Blue Jays	18c	654.55$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals	57c	559$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.37	1,299	50.9%661 W · 638 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Toronto Blue Jays	9c	530$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	530$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.9	195	34.4%67 W · 128 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Washington Nationals	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	143	58%83 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Washington Nationals	57c	526.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.32	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals	69c	520.16$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.75	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	504$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.76	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Toronto Blue Jays	5c	501.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	129	24.8%32 W · 97 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Washington Nationals	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	490$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.96	449	53.7%241 W · 208 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Toronto Blue Jays	32c	468.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	454.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	450$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.5	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Washington Nationals	56c	446.42$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.42	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Toronto Blue Jays	5c	420$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	213	23.5%50 W · 163 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ed…7f85backed Washington Nationals	57c	377.19$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.19	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b22…9431backed Washington Nationals	57c	350$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals	55c	349.99$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.5	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…7164backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	339.05$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Washington Nationals	57c	307.02$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.02	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Blue Jays	11c	296.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	1,813	49.1%891 W · 922 L	-26.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Nationals	74c	269$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.63	346	58.1%201 W · 145 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Washington Nationals	56c	267.86$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.86	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	260$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e1…cfdfbacked Toronto Blue Jays	12c	258.2$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.63	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+43.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Washington Nationals	69c	258$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.98	171	52.6%90 W · 81 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Toronto Blue Jays	43c	255.83$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays	12c	253$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.19	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Washington Nationals	79c	253$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.42	1,099	79.7%876 W · 223 L	+33.4wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Toronto Blue Jays	45c	250$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	249$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.86	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Toronto Blue Jays	12c	248.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	486	60.5%294 W · 192 L	+40.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Washington Nationals	57c	244.7$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.22	219	55.3%121 W · 98 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	240.77$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.94	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	234.13$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.36	227	44.9%102 W · 125 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	233.33$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	674	49.4%333 W · 341 L	-28.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	230$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	227.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.97	476	52.9%252 W · 224 L	+17.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Toronto Blue Jays	9c	224.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	159	42.8%68 W · 91 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Toronto Blue Jays	45c	220$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb41c…5bd3backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	215.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays	14c	210.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Washington Nationals	57c	210.53$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	113	54%61 W · 52 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Toronto Blue Jays	10c	209.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.48	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Washington Nationals	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Washington Nationals	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	206	48.1%99 W · 107 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays	44c	195.04$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.98	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 14.5Under won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event