MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1dc6e3d75ad31cfdbad714db394d9b96897d485d9b8ecce2503017b2795a39b

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $390,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $390,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,816 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	47c	190,113$89,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,354.31	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	53c	177,475$94,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,575.06	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b20…3ab0backed Under	47c	150,000$70,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,999.94	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,500	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Over	52c	37,000$19,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,760	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over	53c	31,893$16,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,091.1	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over	53c	21,300$11,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,011	154	51.9%80 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over	52c	9,060$4,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,348.8	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	47c	8,463$3,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,993.52	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	54c	7,800$4,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,624.49	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	4,873$2,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,339.07	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Over	52c	2,442$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,172.31	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over	54c	1,698$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.08	235	38.3%90 W · 145 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over	54c	1,222$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.32	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	53c	974.91$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.51	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over	52c	961.69$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.61	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under	22c	956.46$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.27	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	45c	908.53$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.94	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under	48c	833.52$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.12	99	56.6%56 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Under	31c	797.99$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.21	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	54c	754.72$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.17	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over	53c	754.72$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.72	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+5.2wins	+0.19per pick	55cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	53c	676.76$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.25	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	53c	673.02$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.32	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over	53c	566.04$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.04	251	49.8%125 W · 126 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	47c	529.24$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.31	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	28c	501.01$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.9	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	47c	500$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.33	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under	47c	471$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.37	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e56…a7f6backed Under	48c	458.33$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.6wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under	47c	449.87$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.44	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over	53c	429.57$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.9	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	30c	371.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.9	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over	53c	362.78$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.51	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Under	46c	330$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	78	46.2%36 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over	53c	317.37$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.16	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over	53c	300$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+7.8wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed Under	49c	290$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.1	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	55c	287$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.02	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	75c	273.23$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.23	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under	48c	248.95$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.45	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	46c	239.14$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	47c	215$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…037fbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Under	40c	199.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over	53c	189$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.83	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over	53c	186.5$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.59	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	47c	178.3$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.8	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under	48c	159.57$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.59	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	48c	150.68$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.33	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…a690backed Over	71c	142.07$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.27	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over	52c	136.62$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.58	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Under	48c	131.25$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+189.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	54c	123$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.58	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	52c	120$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Under	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	18c	106$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…4512backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over	55c	102.36$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.06	182	72%131 W · 51 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Under	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Under	46c	99.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under	38c	98.45$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.97	554	48.2%267 W · 287 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under	46c	92.4$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over	54c	83.33$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.33	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under	48c	83.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	241	49%118 W · 123 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked Under	48c	79.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	292	55.8%163 W · 129 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-8.9wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Under	47c	74.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	45c	62.73$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over	52c	61.15$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	412	36.7%151 W · 261 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	54c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	404	46.5%188 W · 216 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x302b…7a54backed Under	47c	59.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.49	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-6.3wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over	60c	59.15$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.82	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Over	53c	57.71$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.12	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd934…ab75backed Under	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over	53c	48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	356	50.6%180 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under	46c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	272	52.9%144 W · 128 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe521…880ebacked Over	53c	42.15$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.81	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+10.3wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb856…6de5backed Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.5wins	+0.24per pick	50cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Over	53c	36.77$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	53c	32.83$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe326…f075backed Over	55c	31.82$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.32	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	53c	31.17$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Over	54c	29.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	75	65.3%49 W · 26 L	+10.1wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	51c	28.53$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.98	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.3	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 14.5Under won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event