TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under52c9,139$4,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.5411342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c5,885$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.923,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under54c5,732$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c5,214$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.133268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c2,350$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.942,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011037.3%41 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x048b…f503backed Over42c1,867$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c1,827$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.8568450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over43c1,817$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.482450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8461546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under58c1,571$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.162657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c1,012$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.4675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over10c975.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over47c889.42$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0316660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c762.96$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0312460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over47c667.05$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.529167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacb…e5e9backed Under46c661.54$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under54c656.38$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.932055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c655.89$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.394,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0099…b070backed Over38c638.47$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under53c589.75$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.444971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Over34c575.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over46c543.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c541.55$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7899933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under51c528.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over38c526.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over49c508.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over47c500$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c399.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under44c374.16$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over42c372$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.248940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c353.11$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22620857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over35c301.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4517562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c292.83$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.141,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over50c292$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under78c237.69$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over42c226.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959722.7%22 W · 75 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under53c214.91$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.018351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over46c183$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1812470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under44c182.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.731963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under48c182.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.915446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Over59c180.78$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under52c178.79$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0245450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under41c165.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd65a…7ec4backed Over51c156.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc9…1ca3backed Under59c130.23$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c127.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab29…dcc4backed Under54c116.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+177.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Under41c103.29$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Under51c98.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.463148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under50c88.6$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.318653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under60c87.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under51c86.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1618747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…ef4dbacked Under54c84.52$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over34c79.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.292462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over55c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3516363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x461b…7360backed Over41c76.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under45c68.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over30c66.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9859655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over50c65.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e9…4288backed Under55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over47c60.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.561,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over58c52.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3521546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over58c51.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae4c…aa5bbacked Over47c51.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c49.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.355650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0933544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over42c45.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1419258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9d…77debacked Over47c44.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under54c43.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c40.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under78c37.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under59c36.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8719865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over52c36.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under46c35.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over49c35.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.482556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under46c34.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b7…04b2backed Over47c32.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over48c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Under68c29.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8320253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over47c28.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ee…b868backed Over47c27.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c23.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under61c22.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.943976.9%30 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0783…00d3backed Over48c21.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.