La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3b0288ff63c5f296c897161eca6414306e361bf5c2af5eb60d7994fa549823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 8c | 2,973$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 2,289$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 28c | 972.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 32c | 649.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 61c | 645.48$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 478.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 64c | 466.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 28c | 464.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 58c | 338.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…e5e9backed Under | 26c | 319.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 75c | 280.48$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 27c | 273$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 74c | 261.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Under | 26c | 194.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Over | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 73c | 151$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 75c | 132.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 127$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 73c | 122$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 73c | 117$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 653 | 56.5%369 W · 284 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 11c | 115.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 73c | 97.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Under | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 87.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 81.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 68.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 459 | 49.7%228 W · 231 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 28c | 52.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 61c | 42.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 71c | 40.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…fa6cbacked Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 72c | 34.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 22.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 74c | 21.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 62c | 20.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.