La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bc645ba25a2898a2c46229a539ec50b48cb045ee01a630a35f47644a2087eb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under | 78c | 7,030$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 4,808$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 2,493$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 61c | 2,302$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 28c | 1,676$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.17 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 74c | 1,441$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 26c | 896.24$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 853.28$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.92 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 72c | 482.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…0fa4backed Over | 26c | 337.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 315.81$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 6c | 283.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 236.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…ecd5backed Under | 76c | 203.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 200.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 65c | 199.24$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 37c | 135.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 74c | 134.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over | 25c | 130.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 109.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…7502backed Over | 26c | 72.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 27c | 41.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 35.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Under | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…662ebacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.