South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a02265bcd3ab1b4a8dbc3ff2e3b90843bd1e5dc08bce6ad3c7cfb80d675bd56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 743.62$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 324.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 169.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 160.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed No | 10c | 152.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 131.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 46c | 51.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…a450backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.