South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ffad9e8ea1c74723aa9bdc8250f59f394d6ec2c015add9f1e91f7a413bd7f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 11,833$6,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,348.42 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 49c | 1,186$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 1,087$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.47 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 633.18$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 518.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 487.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 466.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 350.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 45c | 329.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 257$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 187.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 153.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 55c | 85.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 62.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 53c | 60.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 30c | 54.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…2103backed Under | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 54c | 30.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7c24backed Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 60c | 20.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Mineiro vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)CA Mineiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.