UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc234b7c376a02514b6e933ce0051973fa7b141bdb0da33e5e9bf08ff91fbd04f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wes Schultzof Wes Schultz, Ben Johnston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $479,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Ben Johnston | 57c | 93,047$52,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,947.39 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Ben Johnston | 57c | 57,194$32,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,739.88 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 38,976$16,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,255.82 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 35,370$15,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,298.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wes Schultz | 52c | 35,113$18,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,988.74 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Wes Schultz | 42c | 20,137$8,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,679.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Ben Johnston | 50c | 18,537$9,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200.58 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 18,286$7,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,422.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ben Johnston | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wes Schultz | 44c | 9,916$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,574.03 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Wes Schultz | 42c | 8,294$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.52 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Ben Johnston | 44c | 7,828$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,483.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Wes Schultz | 48c | 7,719$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Wes Schultz | 14c | 5,783$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.5 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 5,305$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.09 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Wes Schultz | 43c | 3,774$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Ben Johnston | 58c | 3,328$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Ben Johnston | 2c | 3,300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Ben Johnston | 2c | 3,300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Ben Johnston | 2c | 3,150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Ben Johnston | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 2cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Ben Johnston | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Wes Schultz | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.86 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Wes Schultz | 44c | 2,967$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.15 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Ben Johnston | 59c | 2,800$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Ben Johnston | 57c | 2,557$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.12 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Ben Johnston | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Ben Johnston | 51c | 2,457$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Ben Johnston | 3c | 2,400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 2,328$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.5 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Ben Johnston | 80c | 2,234$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.08 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Wes Schultz | 44c | 2,184$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.89 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Ben Johnston | 80c | 2,084$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wes Schultz | 24c | 2,080$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.04 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Wes Schultz | 21c | 2,024$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 2,023$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Ben Johnston | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Ben Johnston | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Ben Johnston | 45c | 1,963$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Wes Schultz | 26c | 1,928$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.84 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Ben Johnston | 2c | 1,899$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Ben Johnston | 3c | 1,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Ben Johnston | 3c | 1,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +238.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Ben Johnston | 55c | 1,763$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.47 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Ben Johnston | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Wes Schultz | 72c | 1,719$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Wes Schultz | 45c | 1,718$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.9 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wes Schultz | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.57 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Ben Johnston | 4c | 1,700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Ben Johnston | 11c | 1,650$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Ben Johnston | 4c | 1,600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Ben Johnston | 69c | 1,437$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.12 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wes Schultz | 41c | 1,398$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Wes Schultz | 13c | 1,331$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Ben Johnston | 2c | 1,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Ben Johnston | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Ben Johnston | 4c | 1,300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Ben Johnston | 56c | 1,294$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.4 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Ben Johnston | 10c | 1,200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Wes Schultz | 44c | 1,187$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.37 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Ben Johnston | 3c | 1,170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Ben Johnston | 67c | 1,133$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.11 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ben Johnston | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.61 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Ben Johnston | 56c | 1,070$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.2 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Wes Schultz | 31c | 1,034$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.91 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Wes Schultz | 44c | 1,014$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.66 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Wes Schultz | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Ben Johnston | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Ben Johnston | 58c | 952.43$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c8…d45dbacked Ben Johnston | 77c | 950.75$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Wes Schultz | 44c | 922.48$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ben Johnston | 59c | 906.22$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Ben Johnston | 56c | 879$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.24 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Ben Johnston | 58c | 869.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Ben Johnston | 58c | 775$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Ben Johnston | 59c | 755.13$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…885ebacked Ben Johnston | 56c | 739.59$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Ben Johnston | 56c | 709.36$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.24 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Wes Schultz | 21c | 699.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.02 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Ben Johnston | 56c | 669.86$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ben Johnston | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Ben Johnston | 14c | 544$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Ben Johnston | 75c | 508.52$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Ben Johnston | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Ben Johnston | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wes Schultz | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Wes Schultz | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Ben Johnston | 57c | 480$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Ben Johnston | 57c | 464.91$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…d978backed Ben Johnston | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Wes Schultz | 41c | 428.56$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Wes Schultz | 45c | 423$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Ben Johnston | 58c | 421.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Ben Johnston | 27c | 410$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Ben Johnston | 27c | 410$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Ben Johnston | 56c | 401.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Ben Johnston | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Wes Schultz | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Ben Johnston | 55c | 399.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Wes Schultz | 43c | 399.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.