UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c3c618dd77fd14d4c3f82745f2882b4ea719b8d638165df934074e4c6ec1e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- John Yannisof Jamie Siraj, John Yannis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked John Yannis | 31c | 2,782$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.62 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked John Yannis | 37c | 2,093$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.45 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed John Yannis | 31c | 1,965$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 1,818$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Jamie Siraj | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed John Yannis | 80c | 1,433$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 1,315$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.84 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jamie Siraj | 63c | 1,206$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.19 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Jamie Siraj | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed John Yannis | 30c | 1,164$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Jamie Siraj | 68c | 999.87$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.23 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jamie Siraj | 68c | 989.39$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.79 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked John Yannis | 29c | 919.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Jamie Siraj | 57c | 784.03$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jamie Siraj | 71c | 750.34$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.74 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 729.95$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed John Yannis | 30c | 701.97$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.38 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked John Yannis | 44c | 646.62$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.06 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jamie Siraj | 55c | 632.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed John Yannis | 29c | 604.84$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.44 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Jamie Siraj | 70c | 577.98$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.58 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed John Yannis | 30c | 538.16$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed John Yannis | 29c | 446.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Jamie Siraj | 73c | 436.82$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.34 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed John Yannis | 25c | 432.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.93 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Jamie Siraj | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Jamie Siraj | 72c | 412.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked John Yannis | 57c | 341.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Jamie Siraj | 48c | 303.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed John Yannis | 39c | 277.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.05 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 250.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Jamie Siraj | 25c | 224.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked John Yannis | 29c | 199.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked John Yannis | 41c | 194.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed John Yannis | 31c | 185.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jamie Siraj | 57c | 177.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Jamie Siraj | 72c | 161.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked John Yannis | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 143.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…678dbacked Jamie Siraj | 70c | 141.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Jamie Siraj | 57c | 141.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Jamie Siraj | 59c | 140.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1d…8fa8backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 138.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Jamie Siraj | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…96c3backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 133.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed John Yannis | 31c | 122.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jamie Siraj | 54c | 117.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed John Yannis | 27c | 112.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked John Yannis | 57c | 107.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Jamie Siraj | 69c | 104.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jamie Siraj | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Jamie Siraj | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f4e2backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 225 | 68.9%155 W · 70 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed John Yannis | 30c | 94.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed John Yannis | 31c | 93.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Jamie Siraj | 71c | 89.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…ef47backed John Yannis | 31c | 88.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Jamie Siraj | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed John Yannis | 30c | 86.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…8107backed John Yannis | 32c | 84.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…7248backed John Yannis | 31c | 82.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked John Yannis | 31c | 78.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed John Yannis | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed John Yannis | 30c | 73.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…86fdbacked Jamie Siraj | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 250 | 60.4%151 W · 99 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Jamie Siraj | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.34per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed John Yannis | 29c | 66.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 132 | 21.2%28 W · 104 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Jamie Siraj | 72c | 65.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jamie Siraj | 69c | 63.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…0e0dbacked John Yannis | 31c | 62.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…3c62backed Jamie Siraj | 65c | 57.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jamie Siraj | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 49.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Jamie Siraj | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Jamie Siraj | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Jamie Siraj | 71c | 49.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…11acbacked John Yannis | 23c | 48.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e1…4fdebacked John Yannis | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…8610backed John Yannis | 31c | 45.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked John Yannis | 29c | 45.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Jamie Siraj | 57c | 44.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…f992backed John Yannis | 43c | 40.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed John Yannis | 33c | 40.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Jamie Siraj | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Jamie Siraj | 73c | 39.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Jamie Siraj | 55c | 38.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…9739backed Jamie Siraj | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…e7cabacked John Yannis | 49c | 35.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 110 | 78.2%86 W · 24 L | +15.6wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Jamie Siraj | 68c | 34.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…8673backed Jamie Siraj | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked Jamie Siraj | 69c | 34.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Jamie Siraj | 72c | 34.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…aaaebacked Jamie Siraj | 71c | 34.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed John Yannis | 68c | 33.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7008…d2f5backed John Yannis | 59c | 33.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…c488backed Jamie Siraj | 70c | 32.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.