TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a8c…ba13backed No61c13,183$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.712268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c4,613$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.597851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c4,107$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c3,314$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.2819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c3,291$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Yes34c2,995$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c2,183$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.742,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c2,008$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.782,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c1,847$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.661,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes15c1,650$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes34c1,618$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55025348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes56c1,526$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.287327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No61c1,373$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.375851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes39c1,304$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No37c1,280$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes37c849.9$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes2c844.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.895635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No62c759.61$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.939254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No61c729$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c659.05$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0354340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes28c656.43$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6512045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No72c600.5$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed No61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.84348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes15c480$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes42c478$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No62c449.31$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6210053%53 W · 47 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c419.02$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5559247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes38c399.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9925544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes21c371.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7835347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No60c358.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No62c336.76$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9972142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes38c306.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.931,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No61c300.62$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.246743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes22c290.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.527050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes36c279.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes17c276.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0611324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No61c276.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes30c249.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7612532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Yes17c236.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed No61c233.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.931963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes42c216.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes23c190.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes19c188.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3157833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes12c162.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9622645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c156$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.841,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c154.05$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.721,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes34c147.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes29c143.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5612531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes39c139$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.717047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a93…5cf4backed Yes40c121.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No37c120.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.633928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202020%4 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No61c111.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.554963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes27c108.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2836545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x270f…b303backed Yes39c102.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910747.7%51 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No61c99.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes21c96.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa867…71abbacked Yes26c94.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Yes33c92.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Yes40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No32c88.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9620440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes38c84.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7473258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes39c82.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3224349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes25c80.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204637%17 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes26c80.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8110049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes40c75.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0811251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Yes38c73.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.597166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes21c71.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8518842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No61c64.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41f8…4781backed Yes32c62.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes39c62.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0357150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes33c59.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7727948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes38c57.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2611348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No64c56.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab3…4b8bbacked Yes40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed No60c54.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010647.2%50 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes39c50.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0735743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.