Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17558c02101bd6ca17a090f900f40678b95e799dd82706a916936afd363ce09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 24c | 8,107$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.41 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 2,506$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,770$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.67 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 1,731$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 79c | 943.51$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 52c | 880$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.29 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 30c | 808.27$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 747.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 30c | 667$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 19c | 612.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 58c | 612.07$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 3c | 607.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 43c | 415.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 54c | 411.12$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 402.01$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.41 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 43c | 392$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 344.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 27c | 326.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 19c | 291.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 284.64$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 71c | 228$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 17c | 179.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 21c | 139.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 60c | 128.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 97.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 30c | 84.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 34c | 80.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…5e6fbacked Yes | 78c | 74.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 19c | 73.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 67c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 67c | 40.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1faebacked Yes | 30c | 39.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…4d8cbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-08?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.