Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f817e2d5677e714cefa26db76a7420edf249484e4e72bf910cbf4a938799fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 15,000$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Anyone's Legend | 42c | 14,475$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,443.75 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Anyone's Legend | 62c | 2,958$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.43 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Anyone's Legend | 39c | 1,291$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.74 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 1,087$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 991.67$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.92 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend | 37c | 887.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.43 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 484.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.84 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 55c | 483.09$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 410.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 51c | 400$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Anyone's Legend | 38c | 336.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.93 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Anyone's Legend | 38c | 177.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7b…c30dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 164.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 145.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Anyone's Legend | 37c | 144.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 36c | 109.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Anyone's Legend | 38c | 101.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Anyone's Legend | 38c | 88.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Anyone's Legend | 37c | 74.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Anyone's Legend | 39c | 62.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…b98abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 58.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…c739backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 37.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…f5a0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed Anyone's Legend | 66c | 29.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…9f2dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 23.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.