TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof Team WE, Anyone's Legend
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$465,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team WE25c74,185$18,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,663.6755955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Anyone's Legend75c27,113$20,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,717.551,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Team WE0c22,720$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Anyone's Legend75c21,888$16,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.9811645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x893b…7949backed Team WE0c15,229$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Team WE0c11,761$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.112844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team WE25c11,485$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,833.6748149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team WE27c8,135$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.1170456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Anyone's Legend70c7,662$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.156541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed Team WE20c7,575$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.9324029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE25c5,578$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.371,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Anyone's Legend80c5,477$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.4423754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6100…ed95backed Anyone's Legend75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2508259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team WE30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50054756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team WE17c4,542$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.1422624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE21c4,250$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.521,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Anyone's Legend72c4,227$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.5667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Team WE33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9844047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f9…895dbacked Anyone's Legend72c3,983$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10510954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team WE28c3,837$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Anyone's Legend68c3,067$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.7825447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Anyone's Legend78c2,912$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6160855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Anyone's Legend71c2,763$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.272,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Team WE0c2,383$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0118910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1f…d634backed Team WE21c2,208$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.199739.2%38 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team WE31c2,011$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Anyone's Legend69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62021954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team WE27c1,971$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.641,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team WE20c1,902$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8126549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Team WE30c1,887$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9728852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team WE32c1,723$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.631,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Anyone's Legend77c1,712$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.7515153.6%81 W · 70 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Team WE23c1,681$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4551044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Team WE3c1,546$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2766116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Anyone's Legend66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51024750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed Team WE1c1,498$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.211097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team WE28c1,483$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.311,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Anyone's Legend67c1,468$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.4324858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anyone's Legend77c1,447$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.192,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4912…5dbdbacked Anyone's Legend80c1,439$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.743100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce15…43b7backed Team WE1c1,342$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4212970.5%91 W · 38 L+16.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Anyone's Legend74c1,329$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.732941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…0a62backed Anyone's Legend74c1,323$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9426052.7%137 W · 123 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Anyone's Legend75c1,313$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3346257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb37…1708backed Team WE19c1,271$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.524951%25 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team WE29c1,261$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.641,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Anyone's Legend80c1,206$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2745041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Anyone's Legend72c1,165$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.913148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team WE20c1,154$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1596250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Anyone's Legend72c1,082$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8385836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team WE23c1,068$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.72,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Team WE38c1,058$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0613452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Anyone's Legend71c1,044$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3773237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team WE20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Anyone's Legend76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team WE29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed Team WE33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33055639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Anyone's Legend78c986.8$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.11,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked Anyone's Legend78c982.81$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.828847.7%42 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team WE29c972.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Team WE32c962.53$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0142924.2%104 W · 325 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team WE5c949.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Anyone's Legend73c945.19$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed Team WE10c924.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6111736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Anyone's Legend78c906.26$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.381,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Anyone's Legend75c886.1$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.33,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team WE28c806.04$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3869539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked Team WE12c759.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4811630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team WE26c750.75$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5679653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Anyone's Legend66c734.7$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.851852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf962…5032backed Anyone's Legend70c728.41$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1910363.1%65 W · 38 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0211…41f4backed Anyone's Legend67c728.25$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.945166.7%34 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team WE34c720.3$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.92,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Anyone's Legend70c699.98$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9950647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Team WE10c696.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4815632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Anyone's Legend74c696.35$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.6878050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Anyone's Legend70c696.08$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2760347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Anyone's Legend76c680$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.213752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Team WE23c679.77$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3551044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Anyone's Legend70c626$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.827447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…b1fabacked Team WE32c610.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.564438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Anyone's Legend77c592.2$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.212437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Anyone's Legend79c501$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.211553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Anyone's Legend77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Team WE20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Anyone's Legend80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10067549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Anyone's Legend75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Anyone's Legend68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16013761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Team WE21c499.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf974…ec30backed Anyone's Legend75c492.5$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1210049%49 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team WE18c476.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.53,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Anyone's Legend64c465.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.843642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Anyone's Legend75c459.67$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9226453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2051…f9f1backed Anyone's Legend74c427.73$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7149253.5%263 W · 229 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba90…b283backed Team WE9c425.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2816925.4%43 W · 126 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+15.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa5d…d8a8backed Team WE13c419.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.53333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Anyone's Legend71c417.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12192354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Team WE12c394.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3617048.8%83 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Anyone's Legend80c369.27$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8535164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Team WE29c342.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.