Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740c330ded786b2bdbca290eb9ccf0c2001f0ea9e1fe72a5c384d119d998c918
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 69c | 3,317$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.31 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 35c | 1,350$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.68 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 20c | 942.58$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 7c | 499.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 31c | 408.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Over | 57c | 232.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 57c | 227.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 68c | 205.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Over | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 72c | 119.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 18c | 105.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Over | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 27c | 89.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Under | 57c | 83.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 29c | 81.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 76c | 79.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 34c | 53.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 33c | 46.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 35c | 39.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…79b8backed Under | 73c | 28.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…6630backed Under | 80c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -13.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.