TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c15,980$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.133,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under26c9,566$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,079.1324347.3%115 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over7c8,505$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.985538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Under73c7,446$5,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.271464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under41c4,655$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.4864839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under41c4,592$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.622343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over23c3,256$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.1660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c3,031$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.365149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over26c2,882$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.4824344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c1,885$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.3493145.4%423 W · 508 L-30.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over45c1,549$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Over58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,355$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.734,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf541…ac67backed Over73c1,348$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.8875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over16c1,345$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3723653%125 W · 111 L+17.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under28c1,300$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over24c1,197$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.175339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under26c1,121$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.532821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over11c1,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under28c1,100$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79222448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over45c1,074$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.56848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over19c1,001$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2817731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over9c886.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.787919%15 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under26c844.49$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over59c797.24$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5118656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over74c745.71$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.612,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Over44c676.48$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over33c569.08$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.479423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c567.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.570356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c518.23$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0390543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over45c453.42$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.048041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over33c436.27$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.973740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over74c434.77$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over74c434.77$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7323456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over74c426$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2473549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over74c399.08$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.326660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under28c392.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.343540%14 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over34c390.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.785343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over47c387.34$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7210629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.985451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c302.25$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9248548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over72c295$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.48961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over33c287.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8211919.3%23 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under76c278.92$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over26c277.22$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.651,66943.8%731 W · 938 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over72c273.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6422157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under26c266.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.413645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over23c259.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.637031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba3…1e03backed Under55c258.6$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.82977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over73c253.56$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.887851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over74c246.1$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.111457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a1f…b12cbacked Under27c169.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over14c166.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3747540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over14c152.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7920241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over35c151.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.863842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.023828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Over9c136.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.292231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.324463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over17c130$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18028.8%23 W · 57 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2104…b10fbacked Under76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.12666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over42c125.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.175841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over74c124.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.958353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over25c120.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6130759%181 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9542858.4%250 W · 178 L+31.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7075…0a8dbacked Over41c117.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over73c114.67$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.032161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c114.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.354052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbb…b190backed Under56c104.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Over74c98.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over52c96.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.155648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over15c92.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.262722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under67c92.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3137348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Over32c89.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.783745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over22c86.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.062560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under26c85.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9622658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over16c78.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5515242.1%64 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8821…32c6backed Over16c71.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…bc90backed Under56c69.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under42c67.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.195154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Over74c66.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Under25c66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56100%6 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+156.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over74c64.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0822446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Over76c64.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.288956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x736b…98d2backed Over24c63.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b5…20fcbacked Over74c63.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over45c62.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.043441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over44c55.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.294623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47e2…4c57backed Over74c55.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c55.08$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.165543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ed…06d5backed Over74c53.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.547749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over75c40.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.195371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.