TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c13,238$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,327.944,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under65c8,342$5,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over48c8,171$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.9924147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over8c7,900$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c7,412$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.916944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over51c4,765$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.052524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under71c2,986$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.9122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over51c2,855$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.96550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under53c2,406$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.7750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over50c1,924$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under49c1,771$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.199457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over19c1,689$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9610418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under61c1,554$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.6692345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76511154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over9c1,374$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.639833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c1,275$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.43,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,042$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0183444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5109056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45910759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over48c817.43$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.365536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under50c806.94$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.1315851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c801.64$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.828756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c796.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over51c795.89$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.99751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over47c753.68$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6748153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c694.37$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c661.44$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3957139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under68c586.27$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.617653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under78c561.04$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.861,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25510168.3%69 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over51c492.46$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.167750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over22c471.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6441751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over45c413.02$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.654146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c402$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c381.47$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.18041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Over20c380.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over46c367.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9811741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c327.92$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.1669750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over31c309.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8617128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over18c299.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.672676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c254.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.941,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under55c241.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over48c235.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Over46c212.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9211566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c199.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9115344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under56c194.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.683834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Under49c186.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.375032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.634252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Under54c175.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.051136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over21c170.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.425841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e8…5169backed Under51c168.48$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over24c165.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0210127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over37c165.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2324344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under50c155.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.62330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c154.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.242,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Over48c151.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.662147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddbb…b190backed Under67c146.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c140.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.826660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c140.45$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8223456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c139.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.051,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under54c136.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.622347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over29c134$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4430842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.831747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4325…39b8backed Under53c124.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over51c119.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.894660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over49c110.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.192161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under52c103.49$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.093040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over48c100.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.25944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x578f…eafabacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Under70c98.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.825154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c98.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.837348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over50c98.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.112755.1%70 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.565461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.52326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.516342.3%69 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd324…364fbacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Under53c91.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.131250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over36c91.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.183441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed Under52c89.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.531070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under62c86.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.943050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over18c81.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Under50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.83650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under51c75.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.785451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f77…aa4dbacked Over33c74.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under55c68.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7220050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over37c66.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210629.2%31 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under54c66.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3919260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over48c64.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.037554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.