Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf2c077a1d190b2fe38f63077fe042df5c0944b74a47383cfde7bdd987691a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 1,271$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.26 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 356$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 334.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 249.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 25c | 240.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 65c | 203.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 196.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 61c | 171.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 167.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 141.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 48c | 127.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Yes | 40c | 125.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…1e7cbacked Yes | 79c | 125.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 58c | 121$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 109.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 100.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…9f83backed Yes | 80c | 100.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 84 | 76.2%64 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed Yes | 41c | 98.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 37c | 91.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 52c | 90.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 29c | 81.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 19c | 79.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 40c | 77.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 76.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 43c | 70.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 61c | 65.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…6a4fbacked Yes | 72c | 63.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed Yes | 70c | 63.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 39c | 61.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 58.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…4b8ebacked Yes | 78c | 56.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 70c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 54.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 53.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 63c | 52.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 38c | 52.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 60c | 52.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 43c | 51.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 49.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 49.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 58c | 47.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 32c | 46.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 44.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…4fbfbacked Yes | 38c | 35.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 77c | 35.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 58c | 35.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…c32abacked Yes | 43c | 35.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 62c | 34.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed Yes | 58c | 34.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 75c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…577ebacked Yes | 70c | 31.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 71c | 31.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 38c | 31.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 40c | 31.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56c…30f3backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 41c | 27.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…329ebacked Yes | 43c | 26.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 52c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…d569backed No | 63c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 111 | 73%81 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…a2c1backed Yes | 78c | 22.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 67c | 21.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 60c | 20.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 63c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or below on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.