Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdc80e9ab16d7cbbbff8ed13903d7c28fd1b5c389b92ab42042d28a1670413f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Toby Samuel, Francesco Maestrelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 12,229$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.53 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…4a0fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 3c | 11,862$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.7 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Maestrelli | 15c | 5,884$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.76 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Francesco Maestrelli | 17c | 4,665$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 2,991$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.76 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 26c | 2,672$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.83 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 3c | 2,386$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Francesco Maestrelli | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Toby Samuel | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toby Samuel | 78c | 1,504$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 1,250$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.14 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 4c | 1,216$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 1,212$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Toby Samuel | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 255 | 58%148 W · 107 L | +20.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Francesco Maestrelli | 19c | 953.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Toby Samuel | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…d8fcbacked Toby Samuel | 50c | 784.31$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 661.08$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 648$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 632$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 35c | 627.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 627$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Toby Samuel | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Francesco Maestrelli | 33c | 597.91$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Toby Samuel | 60c | 557.06$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Francesco Maestrelli | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Toby Samuel | 46c | 475.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.64 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 456$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Francesco Maestrelli | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francesco Maestrelli | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Francesco Maestrelli | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 671 | 31.3%210 W · 461 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Toby Samuel | 50c | 306$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 251.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Francesco Maestrelli | 20c | 238.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Francesco Maestrelli | 33c | 237.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 22c | 221.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francesco Maestrelli | 25c | 200.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Francesco Maestrelli | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Toby Samuel | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 199.91$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 179$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 18c | 172.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Toby Samuel | 63c | 170.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 159.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 155.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 154.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Toby Samuel | 79c | 153.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 375 | 58.1%218 W · 157 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Toby Samuel | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Francesco Maestrelli | 41c | 132.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Toby Samuel | 51c | 127.88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Francesco Maestrelli | 10c | 127.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 107.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98d…384ebacked Toby Samuel | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Francesco Maestrelli | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 97.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Toby Samuel | 79c | 92.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Francesco Maestrelli | 14c | 92.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Toby Samuel | 73c | 82.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 39c | 75.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 30c | 67.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Toby Samuel | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…fc38backed Francesco Maestrelli | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Toby Samuel | 56c | 56.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 310 | 53.5%166 W · 144 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 55.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 55.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Francesco Maestrelli | 20c | 53.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Francesco Maestrelli | 36c | 38.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Francesco Maestrelli | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 455 | 53%241 W · 214 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf4…488fbacked Toby Samuel | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 22.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 348 | 54.3%189 W · 159 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Toby Samuel | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 144 | 96.5%139 W · 5 L | +36.7wins | +0.25per pick | 71cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Toby Samuel | 60c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 176 | 88.6%156 W · 20 L | +40.5wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.