Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Jose Dominguez Alonso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8db883388f90564639f9ed57aa4d5476627de912754b52a5171a9de240e8fc1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jose Dominguez Alonsoof Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, Jose Dominguez Alonso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 39c | 711$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.9 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 59c | 576.57$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.11 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 45c | 564.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.7 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 54c | 564.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 48c | 365$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 44c | 315.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…c9fbbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…ecefbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 35c | 292$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 43c | 216.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 51c | 208.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 44c | 208.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 373 | 54.2%202 W · 171 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 49c | 179.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 40c | 168.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 49c | 153.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 51c | 94.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 300 | 51.7%155 W · 145 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 40c | 84.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 50c | 81.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 64c | 77.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 240 | 39.2%94 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 41c | 53.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 46c | 44.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 44c | 44.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jose Dominguez Alonso | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Jose Dominguez Alonso | 53c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.