TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darja Vidmanovaof Darja Vidmanova, Kimberly Birrell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,369 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Kimberly Birrell52c29,738$15,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,329.9474439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Darja Vidmanova63c26,041$16,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,640.154,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darja Vidmanova47c17,514$8,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,211.1611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kimberly Birrell40c15,555$6,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,22276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Darja Vidmanova55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darja Vidmanova65c10,913$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.828,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed Kimberly Birrell47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2301957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kimberly Birrell34c8,421$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Darja Vidmanova40c6,619$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,952.912,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Kimberly Birrell55c6,120$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.154,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Darja Vidmanova54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9937450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Kimberly Birrell46c4,867$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.961,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Kimberly Birrell24c3,738$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.3410730.8%33 W · 74 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Darja Vidmanova39c3,091$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.635549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Darja Vidmanova48c2,401$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.63,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Kimberly Birrell1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kimberly Birrell52c1,766$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.88,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Darja Vidmanova55c1,754$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.6670254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Darja Vidmanova72c1,548$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.83,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Kimberly Birrell57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85510054%54 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kimberly Birrell48c991.02$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2893740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Darja Vidmanova73c964.02$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.275,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kimberly Birrell25c919.48$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.132,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Kimberly Birrell63c889.5$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.941,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kimberly Birrell19c732.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.812,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Darja Vidmanova64c635.73$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.481,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Kimberly Birrell43c579.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Darja Vidmanova54c574.19$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1310647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Darja Vidmanova56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Kimberly Birrell48c499.3$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1182958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Darja Vidmanova55c418.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1821955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Kimberly Birrell59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23615541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Darja Vidmanova55c390.53$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.312,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Kimberly Birrell45c347.61$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.431,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Kimberly Birrell44c305$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.236954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x470a…881ebacked Darja Vidmanova59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1233050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kimberly Birrell19c292$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.481,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…23b4backed Kimberly Birrell21c290.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.999151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kimberly Birrell60c282$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7488358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Darja Vidmanova67c246.72$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1533062.7%207 W · 123 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fc…2b03backed Darja Vidmanova41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Kimberly Birrell30c237.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.531,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Darja Vidmanova54c236.36$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2752847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Darja Vidmanova53c218$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4630648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Kimberly Birrell39c210.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.991,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Kimberly Birrell47c207.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.641,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Darja Vidmanova52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968752.9%46 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Darja Vidmanova69c190.91$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0542748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8411…b4c4backed Kimberly Birrell57c184.21$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kimberly Birrell58c176$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.085,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Darja Vidmanova55c168.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.984,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Darja Vidmanova53c161.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5812657.1%72 W · 54 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Darja Vidmanova75c148$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.674,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdff…91f7backed Kimberly Birrell57c140.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Kimberly Birrell36c139.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Kimberly Birrell57c131.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515133.8%51 W · 100 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Kimberly Birrell57c126.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.313,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Kimberly Birrell43c124.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.787261.1%44 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Darja Vidmanova79c124.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0891051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Kimberly Birrell43c113$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5933235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a11…9becbacked Darja Vidmanova45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.316043.3%26 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Kimberly Birrell31c109.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3844729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Kimberly Birrell46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024344%107 W · 136 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Kimberly Birrell46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610937.6%41 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Kimberly Birrell46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa69…ff71backed Kimberly Birrell50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509165.9%60 W · 31 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Darja Vidmanova57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4393945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…c45cbacked Kimberly Birrell53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Darja Vidmanova59c91.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3314945%67 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Kimberly Birrell55c90.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd5…5604backed Kimberly Birrell57c87.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe949…83f3backed Kimberly Birrell57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Darja Vidmanova64c87.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.521,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kimberly Birrell49c85.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.727,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Darja Vidmanova57c84.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.473,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Darja Vidmanova39c79.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.587236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Darja Vidmanova66c79.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.186,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3940…ec45backed Darja Vidmanova49c75.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.624369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d8…da3bbacked Kimberly Birrell36c70.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527448.5%133 W · 141 L+24.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Darja Vidmanova45c68.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.66,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Darja Vidmanova61c68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8135357.2%202 W · 151 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca1…fc25backed Darja Vidmanova61c64.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9512661.1%77 W · 49 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa192…e1d4backed Kimberly Birrell57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Kimberly Birrell49c59.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.546,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Kimberly Birrell54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015534.8%54 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4810…9802backed Kimberly Birrell57c55.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.495550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Darja Vidmanova64c55.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0545564.6%294 W · 161 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed Darja Vidmanova55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5511735%41 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e87…91cbbacked Kimberly Birrell57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308142%34 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Kimberly Birrell56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9538…96f4backed Kimberly Birrell58c51.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012031.7%38 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Darja Vidmanova53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34e…29f8backed Kimberly Birrell20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104524.4%11 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Kimberly Birrell51c49.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Kimberly Birrell55c49.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1321147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc752…3ec9backed Kimberly Birrell53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-62.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x62ec…f2e4backed Kimberly Birrell53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Kimberly Birrell49c40.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8355347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Darja Vidmanova66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.629151.9%151 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Kimberly Birrell44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720558.5%120 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.