Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Xing Dao Chen vs Zhiheng Xia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba18909542c6265d157ee21793dbe2d91cd156d2bb64481b75e5be05ca62a871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhiheng Xiaof Xing Dao Chen, Zhiheng Xia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe30e…6b87backed Xing Dao Chen | 72c | 37,146$26,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,906.68 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhiheng Xia | 28c | 31,000$8,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,165.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zhiheng Xia | 26c | 6,622$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.17 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Xing Dao Chen | 73c | 2,756$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.42 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zhiheng Xia | 36c | 817.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.48 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Zhiheng Xia | 52c | 575.04$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.72 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Zhiheng Xia | 28c | 450$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.2 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Zhiheng Xia | 28c | 434.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.53 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Zhiheng Xia | 29c | 397.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.09 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Zhiheng Xia | 28c | 264.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Zhiheng Xia | 27c | 262.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Xing Dao Chen | 72c | 218.34$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Zhiheng Xia | 29c | 174.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Zhiheng Xia | 30c | 161.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.9 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…dc5bbacked Xing Dao Chen | 67c | 148.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…3ab8backed Xing Dao Chen | 66c | 133.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Zhiheng Xia | 32c | 132.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Xing Dao Chen | 33c | 125.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ec…f7a9backed Xing Dao Chen | 74c | 121$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Xing Dao Chen | 73c | 107.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xing Dao Chen | 49c | 105.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…72eabacked Xing Dao Chen | 67c | 89.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Xing Dao Chen | 72c | 70.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xing Dao Chen | 33c | 68.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Zhiheng Xia | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zhiheng Xia | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Xing Dao Chen | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xing Dao Chen | 43c | 35.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Xing Dao Chen | 48c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zhiheng Xia | 34c | 30.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…8cdbbacked Xing Dao Chen | 68c | 29.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Xing Dao Chen | 69c | 27.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…c306backed Xing Dao Chen | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Xing Dao Chen | 58c | 17.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.