Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73293ca29e1fb10ef7b6200cb30330f8681f96154288f5083cccf60c7bd7b05e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 24c | 9,197$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.29 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 70c | 6,948$4,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 78c | 4,452$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.82 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 3,431$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.57 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed No | 19c | 2,192$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 76c | 1,499$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.69 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,135$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 76c | 1,028$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 36c | 883.18$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.03 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 76c | 709.5$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 76c | 542$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 514.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…4b7dbacked Yes | 27c | 295.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 279$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Yes | 63c | 267.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…26cbbacked No | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 258.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 70c | 230$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed Yes | 48c | 146.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 112.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed No | 19c | 109.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 76c | 101.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 25c | 98.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 75c | 95.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 20c | 88.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 63c | 71.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 41c | 65.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Yes | 74c | 62.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 70c | 55.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 41c | 52.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 43c | 37.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…4c72backed No | 31c | 37.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 44c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed No | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 48c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 75c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…2602backed Yes | 76c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Crawley Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.