TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Under62c32,258$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,258.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c55…4a8cbacked Over38c19,136$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,271.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under74c12,963$9,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,353.4656439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c12,688$9,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4944,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under61c12,500$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c12,373$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.173,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over19c10,811$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under71c8,013$5,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.812955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed Over39c6,961$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.691136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under58c4,986$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over39c3,901$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.561717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4d6…308abacked Over35c3,821$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over39c3,756$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.3263757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c3,134$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.6298833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over39c2,756$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0751844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over38c2,753$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.252,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over39c2,562$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.0311849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c2,281$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.3583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under64c2,001$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.494663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7808853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c1,911$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.335651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Under75c1,596$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1611657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Over45c1,549$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under75c1,519$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.862634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c1,492$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.7782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over40c1,221$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.412050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005036%18 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under61c1,131$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.6143439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under63c999.97$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.996259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Under78c960$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c955.55$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over14c939.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.221,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under60c839.36$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over10c817.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3160732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb67a…340bbacked Over35c770.33$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over11c653.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over9c584$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.420043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c513.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4439338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over40c509.84$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.219133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under70c469.8$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under73c469$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.089561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over31c439.47$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.134035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over23c428.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.454035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under61c410$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.91752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over35c389.71$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.47440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over14c388.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5610251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under79c379.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under62c325.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1313051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under61c306$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.341,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c306$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.341,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under65c305.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3623152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.655651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over39c292.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over36c272.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c267.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.761,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ae…658dbacked Under77c257.52$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under67c234.64$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.056342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under79c226.89$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over26c218.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.591216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under64c216.15$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6311242.9%48 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under77c214.01$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4841351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under67c206.6$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1814951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c204.76$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5810943.1%47 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over34c203.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over38c202.61$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.741957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over32c199.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Over27c186.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over32c175.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7659555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over28c170$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9333949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf025…48f8backed Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over39c157.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0245250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under60c156.27$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5117447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over17c152$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2416363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under65c151.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.862263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c149.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4544324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under66c149.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under77c149.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.551566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over39c144.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.372339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under62c137.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4314425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under71c134.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7827257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under73c133.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6711154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under68c131.61$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9110055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under61c131.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.143053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over36c129.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over39c128.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.448447.6%40 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under72c127.76$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.311251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over28c124.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5622553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under61c123.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5911252.7%59 W · 53 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.