TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42ef…1576backed Under67c2,367$1,586 inWon+$781.119956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c2,339$713 inLost-$712.744,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under79c529.9$419 inWon+$111.2820043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c267.55$41 inLost-$40.6639338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over36c109.69$39 inLost-$39.4914425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c100.53$78 inWon+$22.6898833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over18c79.98$14 inLost-$14.4410251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over20c74.99$15 inLost-$156346%29 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c62$41 inWon+$21.281,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over34c60.38$20 inLost-$20.381,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c54.62$36 inWon+$18.571,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Over36c54.17$19 inLost-$19.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over31c50$16 inLost-$15.6515260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Under65c49.5$32 inWon+$17.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under78c30$23 inWon+$6.683640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over37c28.3$10 inLost-$10.4743439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under64c21.02$13 inWon+$7.578447.6%40 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under67c19.97$13 inWon+$6.596267.7%42 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Under65c15.7$10 inWon+$5.521741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under78c14.4$11 inWon+$3.174035%14 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under78c14$11 inWon+$3.084035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.