La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3342be4675ec5fb8e7cd1efe7672ed2850ce298bf81b3f39b94fcd615c5fe2cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 2,930$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 36c | 2,820$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.16 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 66c | 2,182$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 50c | 1,540$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,240$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 48c | 614.34$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 51c | 557.76$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.28 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 52c | 503.53$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 48c | 364.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 69c | 342.34$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 40c | 340.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 284.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 39c | 256.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 32c | 201$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 38c | 189.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 60c | 177.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 51c | 173.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 32c | 152.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 34c | 134.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 49c | 128.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 38c | 106$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 62c | 106$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 102.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed Over | 62c | 102$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 63c | 101.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 85.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 71c | 67.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 71c | 62.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 48.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 29c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…2bdbbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 37.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 37.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 33.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 39c | 30.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 30.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 50c | 28.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Under | 53c | 27.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…700dbacked Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 76c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 71c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Deportivo Alavés won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.