TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c21,005$8,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,517.614,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over61c8,766$5,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.4383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c6,927$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.4444039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under27c6,019$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over74c5,936$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.2783939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c5,496$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.683,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over67c4,328$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.2412948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under27c3,557$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.922955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under48c3,523$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.1157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under33c3,235$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.3664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c2,152$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.5399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under43c2,102$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Under33c2,059$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.251040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2209052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Under61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under59c1,988$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.812835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under34c1,934$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.0912546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over68c1,931$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.795446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over60c1,832$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over40c1,813$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.654250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over64c1,719$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.752080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Under61c1,608$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under33c1,402$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6618046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4da5…d7b9backed Under28c1,321$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c1,059$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011822.9%27 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over41c881.61$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.6110245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+72.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over73c641.26$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.754035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over49c607.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.062766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under12c600.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3411342.5%48 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Over69c599.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under48c577.65$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over62c540.32$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under3c533.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.023915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under37c533.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under37c533.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…7518backed Under34c529.84$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over50c502.76$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.381450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under60c481.58$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.956259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over67c409.22$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2940239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under10c388.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6811542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c375.51$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0569750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c368.2$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.822,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under32c344.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Over67c328.36$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over76c322.33$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0210350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under33c317$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.612733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under31c308.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.87850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+171.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over72c286.25$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.353551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c279.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over56c278.4$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.13638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under34c275.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8314525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over70c244.89$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.94922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under55c244.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5515540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c226.97$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.49561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over71c220.48$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0422553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under28c208.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0035…f536backed Over49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under48c203.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Over49c198.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under6c194.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+1,103.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over72c193$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4419247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under43c182.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6911251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under43c180.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.111154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under28c171.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under11c169$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c160.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.821,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c150.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4145841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under27c146.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167d…435ebacked Under51c146.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over40c142.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over69c141.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.261957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over56c141.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7359655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c139.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under57c139.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.36342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under46c136.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4727758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddf…7d48backed Over68c131.47$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e79…0f4abacked Over58c127.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under36c125.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2319840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over59c124.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9244424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over69c118.58$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7634050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under58c117$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8610445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Over64c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over71c108$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.684951%25 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over62c103.27$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.642853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4466…cd34backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.