TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Deportivo Alavésof Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, Deportivo Alavés
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,752 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Deportivo Alavés77c9,995$7,739 inWon+$2,255.924,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid25c9,129$2,269 inLost-$2,268.8282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c2,000$360 inLost-$3609443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid22c983.32$215 inLost-$215.092835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid20c699.86$140 inLost-$139.8556439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c370.33$67 inLost-$66.6619133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid22c322.61$70 inLost-$702326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid19c271.17$52 inLost-$51.521968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid20c270.15$55 inLost-$54.8239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17c257.4$44 inLost-$44.51,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Deportivo Alavés76c238.98$182 inWon+$56.5511154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Deportivo Alavés76c237.76$181 inWon+$57.0711251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid23c223.22$51 inLost-$51.3419840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Deportivo Alavés76c200$152 inWon+$47.5415260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid17c199.98$34 inLost-$3422540.4%91 W · 134 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c199.33$36 inLost-$35.881942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x884b…c480backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c166.67$30 inLost-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c150.17$27 inLost-$27.0368050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid20c149.98$30 inLost-$30.414425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c122.22$22 inLost-$223638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Deportivo Alavés79c111.78$88 inWon+$23.5527257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Deportivo Alavés76c91.59$70 inWon+$21.894261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid24c83.54$20 inLost-$2012330.1%37 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Rayo Vallecano de Madrid18c59.78$11 inLost-$10.7619345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Deportivo Alavés77c34.1$26 inWon+$7.6822357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Deportivo Alavés78c20$16 inWon+$4.47741.6%32 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Deportivo Alavés77c15$12 inWon+$3.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.