Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33139cbc60975176e4bf669c309870800ad5af000ddbc015fb95a54eb33e920a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Scotlandof Scotland, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Canada | 15c | 1,711$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Canada | 14c | 1,434$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked Scotland | 75c | 1,004$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 19c | 975.24$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Canada | 5c | 867.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Canada | 19c | 615.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Canada | 20c | 555.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canada | 16c | 453.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…1cbbbacked Canada | 48c | 411.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Canada | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…4daabacked Canada | 17c | 289.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Scotland | 80c | 251.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Canada | 9c | 243.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Canada | 24c | 225.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked Canada | 13c | 199.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Scotland | 70c | 176.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Canada | 38c | 172.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Canada | 14c | 170.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Scotland | 66c | 152.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Canada | 44c | 151.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…61a9backed Canada | 35c | 140.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Canada | 25c | 136.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Canada | 11c | 134.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Canada | 45c | 128.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Canada | 20c | 121.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Canada | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Canada | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Canada | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Canada | 25c | 79.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Scotland | 65c | 60.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…7f72backed Scotland | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Scotland | 78c | 54.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Canada | 37c | 51.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Canada | 24c | 47.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…f178backed Canada | 24c | 46.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Canada | 40c | 45.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Scotland | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Canada | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Scotland | 46c | 40.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Canada | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Scotland | 64c | 39.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Scotland | 65c | 30.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Scotland | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Canada | 44c | 25.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…f24fbacked Canada | 49c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Scotland | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.