TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TEAM VISIONof BoomBoys, TEAM VISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$666,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$911,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,321 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION61c183,249$111,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,010.11,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed BoomBoys40c143,191$57,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,809.3512159.5%72 W · 49 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed BoomBoys42c40,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9847146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed TEAM VISION59c35,000$20,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,45012348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…edbebacked TEAM VISION60c19,600$11,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,788.444837.5%18 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked BoomBoys36c17,228$6,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,192.5750347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked BoomBoys35c17,000$5,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,949.9736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked BoomBoys9c15,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400731.4%1 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick11cpaid-91.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed TEAM VISION58c14,578$8,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.3618844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked BoomBoys41c11,736$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.2353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BoomBoys35c10,810$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.4869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…bce7backed BoomBoys40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.996241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BoomBoys39c9,898$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.211,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BoomBoys42c8,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9927153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BoomBoys40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40089341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked TEAM VISION61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.9941042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21b…e4e4backed BoomBoys44c5,494$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4393633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked TEAM VISION59c5,386$3,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.265048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked BoomBoys44c5,212$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.665658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BoomBoys43c4,845$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.2780056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed BoomBoys41c4,455$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.4712350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed TEAM VISION59c4,409$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.372035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked TEAM VISION69c4,365$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.8719853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked BoomBoys35c4,077$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.2956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa0…ca20backed BoomBoys32c3,807$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.632653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BoomBoys38c3,764$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.0839343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked BoomBoys35c3,404$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.4610045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed TEAM VISION66c3,383$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.4118551.4%95 W · 90 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked TEAM VISION71c3,329$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.7635361.2%216 W · 137 L-0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed BoomBoys42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26029952.2%156 W · 143 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08022663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed BoomBoys30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TEAM VISION61c2,919$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.1289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa5…cd80backed TEAM VISION60c2,800$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1203256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7993…cf5abacked TEAM VISION64c2,776$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.412962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed TEAM VISION62c2,714$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.814136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION62c2,514$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.0653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed TEAM VISION61c2,313$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.214065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed BoomBoys39c2,299$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.177439.2%29 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked TEAM VISION56c2,250$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.829643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed BoomBoys10c2,100$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.56050%30 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BoomBoys4c2,088$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2865625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked TEAM VISION63c2,006$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.841,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed BoomBoys34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68018830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BoomBoys35c1,800$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BoomBoys40c1,706$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.221,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked TEAM VISION61c1,681$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TEAM VISION58c1,602$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.11,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked TEAM VISION58c1,595$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8361057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed TEAM VISION60c1,525$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.578741.4%36 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed BoomBoys43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BoomBoys1c1,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf1a…83eabacked TEAM VISION60c1,477$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked TEAM VISION59c1,466$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.424034.2%82 W · 158 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed TEAM VISION60c1,425$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BoomBoys44c1,385$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.3561256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked TEAM VISION55c1,380$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62110144.6%45 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…4c3cbacked TEAM VISION57c1,371$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…54c4backed BoomBoys41c1,351$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56029240.8%119 W · 173 L+0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed TEAM VISION61c1,350$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.7565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed BoomBoys42c1,321$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55047450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed BoomBoys41c1,214$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed TEAM VISION57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9953652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed TEAM VISION66c1,178$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.2510256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed TEAM VISION65c1,165$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.2817648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed BoomBoys35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9910853.7%58 W · 50 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed TEAM VISION61c1,088$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.5137146.4%172 W · 199 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed BoomBoys44c1,049$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2428347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed TEAM VISION60c1,020$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.212966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x260a…eb0fbacked TEAM VISION60c1,013$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.615368%104 W · 49 L+17.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6c58…7ee8backed BoomBoys21c891.75$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.56147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02fe…c5a5backed BoomBoys36c768.44$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.648740.2%35 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed TEAM VISION65c767.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2822260.4%134 W · 88 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BoomBoys44c720.04$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2696357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed TEAM VISION54c702.39$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.188539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TEAM VISION59c692.2$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1768649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3289…84debacked TEAM VISION58c690$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.82556%14 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…d335backed TEAM VISION64c683.07$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.412657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed BoomBoys44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d6…7f51backed TEAM VISION60c668.21$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.215947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TEAM VISION62c662.99$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.242,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked TEAM VISION61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7420160.2%121 W · 80 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe522…cc1abacked TEAM VISION60c650$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.552560%15 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed BoomBoys43c639.52$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9917952.5%94 W · 85 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…e867backed TEAM VISION68c600.43$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.186633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked TEAM VISION65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21065863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BoomBoys35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed BoomBoys45c595.3$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7441739.6%165 W · 252 L-38.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked TEAM VISION67c543.47$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3325851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked BoomBoys37c540.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008447.6%40 W · 44 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked TEAM VISION67c540.41$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.811,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed BoomBoys35c527.63$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8118247.8%87 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TEAM VISION62c520.2$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.11,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked TEAM VISION58c516$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21619849%97 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BoomBoys38c514.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked BoomBoys36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed TEAM VISION58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21079559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed TEAM VISION61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19518351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…5de0backed BoomBoys3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TEAM VISION63c499.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.