Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee9488bf8e924fa5de1fb946bef8ea4a07e6187a4eeb83fab49920b888c62fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed BoomBoys | 60c | 1,279$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.44 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked TEAM VISION | 41c | 1,238$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.11 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 976.56$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.94 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed BoomBoys | 61c | 713.97$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BoomBoys | 39c | 711.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.96 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed TEAM VISION | 42c | 630.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed BoomBoys | 66c | 590.23$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TEAM VISION | 46c | 477.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 470.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked BoomBoys | 61c | 166$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed TEAM VISION | 41c | 156.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked BoomBoys | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 128$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed BoomBoys | 62c | 124.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked TEAM VISION | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f5cfbacked TEAM VISION | 42c | 112.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed BoomBoys | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked TEAM VISION | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked TEAM VISION | 62c | 96.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 76.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed BoomBoys | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 62.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…8e9dbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked TEAM VISION | 34c | 57.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 49.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…da81backed BoomBoys | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked BoomBoys | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed BoomBoys | 58c | 28.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed BoomBoys | 59c | 22.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed BoomBoys | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Group StageTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.