Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb250f71e99c64d332937397d913f1bfe3ae7a7a8e60e8f1fde4a9a9bf9df4c32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,053,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,425,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,053,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 55c | 180,000$99,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,700.81 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 56c | 89,040$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,040.46 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 46c | 45,387$20,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,824.35 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Aurora | 45c | 27,313$12,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,317.77 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora | 44c | 24,994$10,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,956.88 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.9 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 70c | 19,476$13,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.31 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Aurora | 44c | 17,300$7,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,657.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 16,810$8,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,652.15 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Aurora | 17c | 16,450$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Aurora | 44c | 15,800$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,030 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Aurora | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 42c | 14,892$6,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,255.74 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 30c | 14,422$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.14 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 44c | 13,947$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Aurora | 47c | 13,263$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.23 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora | 44c | 11,438$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.66 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Aurora | 47c | 10,640$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 50c | 9,974$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.5 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 48c | 8,299$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.13 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 8,111$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.98 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Spirit | 56c | 7,620$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.46 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 7,550$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.13 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 38c | 7,132$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.59 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Aurora | 50c | 6,668$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.71 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Aurora | 40c | 6,417$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.88 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Aurora | 41c | 6,081$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.05 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Aurora | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 41c | 5,761$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.99 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Spirit | 73c | 5,705$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.23 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 45c | 5,378$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Spirit | 58c | 5,200$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Aurora | 52c | 5,176$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.89 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Spirit | 63c | 5,154$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.76 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Aurora | 47c | 5,050$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.15 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Spirit | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 79c | 4,481$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.85 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…23ddbacked Aurora | 51c | 4,392$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Aurora | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Aurora | 46c | 3,898$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.51 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Aurora | 48c | 3,812$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.92 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Aurora | 45c | 3,800$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 39c | 3,641$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.41 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 47c | 3,463$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.61 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Spirit | 67c | 3,462$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.76 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Aurora | 34c | 3,220$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 35c | 3,165$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.76 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Aurora | 57c | 3,156$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.71 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Aurora | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Aurora | 55c | 3,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Aurora | 28c | 2,944$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,929$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.36 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 49c | 2,925$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.9 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 26c | 2,896$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.96 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Team Spirit | 65c | 2,800$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.05 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 2,800$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.13 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Aurora | 42c | 2,800$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Aurora | 45c | 2,775$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.75 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 46c | 2,703$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.11 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Team Spirit | 76c | 2,701$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.23 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Aurora | 45c | 2,575$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.94 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Aurora | 45c | 2,520$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora | 41c | 2,476$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.97 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,458$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.08 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 45c | 2,455$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.33 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora | 39c | 2,325$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.33 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Aurora | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,089$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.32 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Team Spirit | 59c | 2,013$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8921…6ae9backed Aurora | 44c | 1,918$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Aurora | 45c | 1,796$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.04 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,746$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.44 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Aurora | 49c | 1,695$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.24 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,656$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,655$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 45c | 1,616$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.97 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,600$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.66 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 1,587$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.7 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,546$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.34 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Aurora | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 47c | 1,500$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.18 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,474$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.83 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,422$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.45 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,412$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.84 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.76 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,401$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.45 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,380$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed Team Spirit | 72c | 1,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.92 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ba5fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,358$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,348$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.7 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Aurora | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,302$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.45 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2d1backed Aurora | 35c | 1,175$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aurora | 43c | 1,155$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.65 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.