Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936a5abf0e2ca85d01ad9a060c97ed6bfad6e540e5c8773008c11da7e83cd813
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $975,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 54c | 81,744$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,744.43 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 36c | 48,360$17,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,278.71 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 39c | 32,555$12,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,819.94 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 75c | 29,981$22,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.37 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 40c | 27,773$11,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,095.01 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 51c | 24,949$12,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,223.56 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Aurora | 48c | 20,266$9,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,827.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Aurora | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Spirit | 52c | 19,945$10,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,590.32 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Aurora | 7c | 15,500$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.25 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 42c | 14,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Team Spirit | 31c | 12,351$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,571.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 11,022$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.29 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Aurora | 38c | 10,290$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.71 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Aurora | 47c | 9,980$4,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,662.06 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 47c | 9,747$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.03 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 7,786$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Spirit | 56c | 7,188$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.92 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 7,039$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Spirit | 79c | 6,812$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 53c | 6,568$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.36 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aurora | 44c | 5,000$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 5,000$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Aurora | 44c | 4,392$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.47 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Aurora | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 41c | 3,954$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.31 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 3,951$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.98 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,754$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.4 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,618$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.21 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Aurora | 49c | 3,518$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.89 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 70c | 3,449$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.81 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Spirit | 48c | 3,400$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.98 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 3,261$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.59 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Aurora | 47c | 3,224$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.88 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Aurora | 64c | 3,112$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 50c | 3,015$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.8 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,919$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.44 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,918$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.68 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Aurora | 43c | 2,805$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,799$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Spirit | 51c | 2,780$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.95 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Aurora | 26c | 2,611$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.84 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 43c | 2,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,475$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.24 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,309$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.4 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,190$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Spirit | 46c | 2,167$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.11 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,134$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.37 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 2,117$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.67 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 2,093$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.23 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aurora | 45c | 2,071$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 39c | 2,069$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.34 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora | 54c | 2,065$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.35 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,998$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.4 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,993$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.56 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Aurora | 45c | 1,945$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.22 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,876$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.52 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aurora | 51c | 1,843$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.54 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Aurora | 54c | 1,837$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 46c | 1,800$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,764$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.79 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…23ddbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit | 71c | 1,748$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Aurora | 43c | 1,742$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 1,681$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…a37dbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,600$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.2 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 41c | 1,596$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.29 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Aurora | 33c | 1,568$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.55 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…4cb9backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,567$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Aurora | 25c | 1,523$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.47 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 46c | 1,502$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.91 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Aurora | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Aurora | 49c | 1,432$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Aurora | 44c | 1,416$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.25 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,415$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.79 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,405$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.64 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…84debacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Aurora | 74c | 1,392$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.13 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Aurora | 47c | 1,333$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.67 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Aurora | 51c | 1,328$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.31 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,313$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.52 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Aurora | 75c | 1,265$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.92 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 23c | 1,264$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Aurora | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.74 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora | 41c | 1,130$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.21 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora | 56c | 1,038$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.23 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 47c | 1,034$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.84 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,021$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.43 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,016$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,016$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Aurora | 75c | 1,015$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Aurora | 48c | 1,015$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Aurora | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Aurora | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.