Lol · resolved market
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10cf15b341691870a5bbdf0e964a0cd46b0fa9764ab90d0e997fd6a7a5451f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Cloud9, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Cloud9 | 59c | 14,331$8,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.43 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Liquid | 25c | 10,554$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.77 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Cloud9 | 70c | 5,184$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.88 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 3,860$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.6 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Team Liquid | 14c | 3,461$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Team Liquid | 10c | 2,645$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…2c0ebacked Team Liquid | 15c | 2,091$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 2,020$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.8 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Cloud9 | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…6443backed Team Liquid | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…477cbacked Cloud9 | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Team Liquid | 6c | 947.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 825.07$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Cloud9 | 58c | 812.56$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Team Liquid | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Team Liquid | 10c | 766.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Cloud9 | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Cloud9 | 79c | 658.8$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Liquid | 22c | 642.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Cloud9 | 55c | 612.58$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.66 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cloud9 | 76c | 607.83$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Team Liquid | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Team Liquid | 8c | 544$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Team Liquid | 6c | 500.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…1d4cbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 487.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…f671backed Team Liquid | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Cloud9 | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud9 | 56c | 354.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 328.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Team Liquid | 7c | 327.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Team Liquid | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 289.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid | 47c | 253.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Cloud9 | 53c | 234.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…9a77backed Team Liquid | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…59ecbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Cloud9 | 52c | 198.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Cloud9 | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 20c | 148.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Team Liquid | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Team Liquid | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…5b34backed Team Liquid | 47c | 101.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Team Liquid | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Cloud9 | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Cloud9 | 77c | 90.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Cloud9 | 76c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Team Liquid | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Team Liquid | 40c | 66.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Team Liquid | 38c | 58.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…28bfbacked Cloud9 | 56c | 55.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 51.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…1a46backed Team Liquid | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Liquid | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cloud9 | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…7d64backed Cloud9 | 55c | 43.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Team Liquid | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 42.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 39.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…19b7backed Cloud9 | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Team Liquid | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Team Liquid | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Cloud9 | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Cloud9 | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageCloud9 won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.