TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d35…0b94backed Top Esports2c8,616$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.342556%14 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Weibo Gaming71c8,454$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.6641752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Top Esports29c8,128$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.121,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Top Esports1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.22072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1199…d5f9backed Top Esports0c7,194$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Top Esports7c5,798$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.461,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Top Esports37c4,966$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.61,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Weibo Gaming79c4,288$3,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.7110653.8%57 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca0f…dcb0backed Top Esports6c4,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed Weibo Gaming57c3,824$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.4921448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Top Esports11c3,815$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.4825038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Weibo Gaming79c3,739$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.2667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Top Esports32c3,500$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9940435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Top Esports6c3,376$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.721937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Weibo Gaming65c2,447$1,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.6631644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Top Esports22c1,944$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.861,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Top Esports32c1,847$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.8913345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Top Esports44c1,800$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79017949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Weibo Gaming57c1,715$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.3523439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Top Esports31c1,711$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.22,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Weibo Gaming59c1,686$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.127852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Weibo Gaming70c1,637$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5463161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0185…0bd3backed Weibo Gaming62c1,625$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2411453.5%61 W · 53 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming61c1,597$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.661,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Top Esports16c1,588$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1961…1dbcbacked Weibo Gaming56c1,531$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Top Esports30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45069756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Top Esports43c1,465$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40c…30bbbacked Top Esports9c1,311$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…9350backed Top Esports36c1,103$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011736.8%43 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Top Esports38c1,079$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6510445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Top Esports40c1,041$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5682352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Top Esports41c1,014$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.541,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Top Esports26c900$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c96…763fbacked Top Esports1c900$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84914.3%7 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Weibo Gaming59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4626645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec24…9544backed Weibo Gaming59c846.42$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.664440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Top Esports5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Weibo Gaming75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6db2…1338backed Top Esports41c799.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3283855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8814…53edbacked Top Esports42c799.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e19…bbbdbacked Top Esports36c788.29$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Weibo Gaming66c770$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.213056.9%74 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf386…9b3fbacked Top Esports1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed Top Esports35c735.29$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5424629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Weibo Gaming58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2942,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4384…175fbacked Top Esports3c699.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Top Esports43c699.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1d…caadbacked Top Esports43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009252.2%48 W · 44 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Top Esports43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Top Esports7c674.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6752538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Top Esports27c672.71$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.638453.6%45 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Weibo Gaming72c658.69$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Weibo Gaming73c641.15$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.166259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Top Esports31c624.15$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3813525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Weibo Gaming58c599.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd227…b4cebacked Top Esports10c599.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports4c599.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Top Esports42c570.3$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.941,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Top Esports32c560.1$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.991,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Top Esports42c558.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2239851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Top Esports35c525.79$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0614044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Top Esports23c522.89$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Weibo Gaming58c506.74$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3315243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Top Esports34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed Top Esports29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Top Esports12c499.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018914.8%28 W · 161 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Weibo Gaming55c499.6$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4467549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Top Esports35c486.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.41,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Weibo Gaming57c483.43$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.871942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3672…82d3backed Top Esports21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Weibo Gaming58c455.09$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.272,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Top Esports13c450$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.571249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Top Esports32c430.9$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.891,13030%339 W · 791 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1a…abadbacked Top Esports4c429.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.414233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Weibo Gaming72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6736260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Weibo Gaming72c400$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5230661.1%187 W · 119 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Top Esports36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14439044.9%175 W · 215 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports41c399.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.991,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Weibo Gaming58c329.97$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5995847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Weibo Gaming75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7567763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Top Esports40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027455.8%153 W · 121 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x940d…ddd0backed Top Esports42c287.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Top Esports34c281.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7715049.3%74 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Top Esports29c269$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.341,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Top Esports8c263.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3260124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Weibo Gaming66c255.71$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1885046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89be…b4a5backed Top Esports40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade1…0493backed Top Esports39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf9…1e87backed Top Esports40c247.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050058.8%294 W · 206 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Top Esports32c246.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.221,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Top Esports42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Top Esports25c229.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.51,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Top Esports32c225.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6722654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Top Esports45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Weibo Gaming66c219.28$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6512433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Top Esports32c214.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1518053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb9…3730backed Top Esports34c209.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Weibo Gaming62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe804…5d6cbacked Top Esports7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.