Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9d6877c541031a9254c4de4206773232eed31d6fa2a3e61dfdfc98b295b278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GAM Esportsof GAM Esports, Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 45c | 1,115$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 1,003$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.63 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 3c | 947$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed GAM Esports | 55c | 904.32$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.55 | 829 | 54.5%452 W · 377 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GAM Esports | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed GAM Esports | 62c | 490.63$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 36c | 437.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 500 | 40.8%204 W · 296 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…2da4backed GAM Esports | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…3b04backed GAM Esports | 61c | 263.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed GAM Esports | 61c | 165.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed GAM Esports | 60c | 154.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 41c | 122.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 43c | 98.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed GAM Esports | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed GAM Esports | 64c | 71.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed GAM Esports | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked GAM Esports | 45c | 50.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed GAM Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 385 | 34.8%134 W · 251 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming | 50c | 43.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed GAM Esports | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…be22backed GAM Esports | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGAM Esports won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 WinnerGAM Esports won
- LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 WinnerGAM Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.