Lol · resolved market
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e6e05a36ca260ad1cbdbd2d26e14e5ea112b4365a1aeb950ff40ac7df82e29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatan Esportsof Fluxo W7M, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Fluxo W7M | 2c | 7,534$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leviatan Esports | 43c | 4,522$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.13 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Fluxo W7M | 1c | 4,194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M | 34c | 3,285$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.76 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Leviatan Esports | 41c | 3,046$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.71 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo W7M | 15c | 2,631$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.37 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 1,964$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.85 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Leviatan Esports | 80c | 1,941$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.07 | 139 | 66.9%93 W · 46 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…4afebacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 1,682$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.78 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 1,498$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.16 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Leviatan Esports | 39c | 1,300$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 1,299$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Fluxo W7M | 62c | 1,283$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.33 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 1,237$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.52 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 1,170$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.39 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Leviatan Esports | 46c | 767.14$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.02 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Leviatan Esports | 46c | 765.68$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.17 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Leviatan Esports | 49c | 646$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Leviatan Esports | 58c | 601.01$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 600$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Leviatan Esports | 47c | 543.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 495$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…c442backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M | 55c | 475$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Fluxo W7M | 59c | 450$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 400.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 360.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Leviatan Esports | 63c | 357.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Fluxo W7M | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Leviatan Esports | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 270$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Leviatan Esports | 58c | 262.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 257.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Leviatan Esports | 43c | 249.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Leviatan Esports | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Leviatan Esports | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Leviatan Esports | 77c | 188.69$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Fluxo W7M | 11c | 179.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Leviatan Esports | 58c | 175$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 138.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Fluxo W7M | 14c | 134.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 129$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Leviatan Esports | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 110.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…be22backed Leviatan Esports | 70c | 104.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 103$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 90.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…b357backed Leviatan Esports | 50c | 89.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Fluxo W7M | 32c | 81.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…83ddbacked Leviatan Esports | 66c | 80.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Fluxo W7M | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 72.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…b06fbacked Leviatan Esports | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…fc72backed Leviatan Esports | 42c | 66.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Fluxo W7M | 62c | 53.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 49.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Leviatan Esports | 41c | 48.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 46.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…c4b2backed Leviatan Esports | 64c | 43.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Leviatan Esports | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…5dedbacked Leviatan Esports | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Leviatan Esports | 56c | 37.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Leviatan Esports | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatan Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…772abacked Leviatan Esports | 50c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Leviatan Esports | 49c | 29.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…5fbebacked Leviatan Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 18.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Leviatan Esports | 73c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3142…5d17backed Leviatan Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Play-InLeviatan Esports won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLeviatan Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.