Lol · resolved market
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf66da007df88e20991069dc9b7e6b9ed0dcfca1b7e4afc9dc35d61d7586484a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1461…30a1backed FURIA Esports | 32c | 50,000$16,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,198.57 | 204 | 38.2%78 W · 126 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 16,011$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids | 52c | 12,001$6,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,811.8 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA Esports | 0c | 8,229$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked RED Canids | 50c | 8,148$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.91 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids | 50c | 6,342$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.82 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked FURIA Esports | 2c | 6,042$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids | 52c | 6,001$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.2 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 3,417$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.69 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed RED Canids | 50c | 2,169$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.34 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 1,290$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.01 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…4247backed FURIA Esports | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 75 | 0%0 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked RED Canids | 50c | 888$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 773$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.48 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 567.5$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked FURIA Esports | 2c | 526.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…bccbbacked FURIA Esports | 26c | 521.23$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked RED Canids | 51c | 296.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed RED Canids | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 266.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed RED Canids | 50c | 244$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 233.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed RED Canids | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed RED Canids | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed RED Canids | 57c | 176.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked RED Canids | 55c | 169.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…e46ebacked RED Canids | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…740bbacked RED Canids | 53c | 141.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked RED Canids | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports | 12c | 118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed RED Canids | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked RED Canids | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed RED Canids | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked FURIA Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 81.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed RED Canids | 53c | 79.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked FURIA Esports | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 72.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FURIA Esports | 27c | 63.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed RED Canids | 53c | 56.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed RED Canids | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 55.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 43.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed RED Canids | 47c | 43.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked FURIA Esports | 24c | 41.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked RED Canids | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 49c | 39.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…ca73backed RED Canids | 53c | 35.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…54b2backed RED Canids | 59c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ce…fd71backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…598fbacked RED Canids | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed RED Canids | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.