Lol · resolved market
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49a03184795e7f6acd8a5681a2d6745f0b96141952c987c9ff7f7a01bfc41bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd48…2e1abacked RED Canids | 60c | 28,661$17,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,469.86 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 11,999$5,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.04 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 5,999$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.34 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 5,863$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.07 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked RED Canids | 47c | 5,080$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.83 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 3,993$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.71 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 3,198$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.19 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…0d23backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 2,101$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.51 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked FURIA Esports | 58c | 1,446$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 1,365$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.7 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed RED Canids | 46c | 1,219$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.17 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked RED Canids | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked FURIA Esports | 42c | 891.23$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 46c | 750$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed RED Canids | 45c | 505.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.92 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FURIA Esports | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed RED Canids | 48c | 391.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.67 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports | 60c | 341$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed RED Canids | 44c | 340$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FURIA Esports | 31c | 334.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA Esports | 56c | 331$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.25 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 250.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked RED Canids | 52c | 213.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked FURIA Esports | 60c | 211.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 176.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 150.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…740bbacked FURIA Esports | 40c | 127.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked RED Canids | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked RED Canids | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed RED Canids | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed RED Canids | 49c | 108$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed FURIA Esports | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 99.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…5f8abacked FURIA Esports | 42c | 87.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed RED Canids | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked RED Canids | 39c | 81.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 77.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked RED Canids | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked FURIA Esports | 55c | 67.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked RED Canids | 53c | 56.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 51.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed RED Canids | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 47.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…54b2backed RED Canids | 44c | 40.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked RED Canids | 63c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked FURIA Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked RED Canids | 56c | 35.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked FURIA Esports | 29c | 35.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…fcbbbacked RED Canids | 54c | 34.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed RED Canids | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked RED Canids | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…19b7backed RED Canids | 72c | 28.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed RED Canids | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked RED Canids | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.