TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dignitasof Dignitas, Shopify Rebellion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,564
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,564 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Shopify Rebellion67c88,395$59,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,068.0612161.2%74 W · 47 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Dignitas35c46,003$16,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,976.321,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Dignitas33c42,418$13,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,426.2111750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dignitas32c35,000$11,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,70090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Shopify Rebellion67c31,148$20,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,838.1364155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Dignitas36c11,980$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,687.41,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…18b4backed Dignitas80c10,518$8,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.515860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Shopify Rebellion41c10,366$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,234.4813355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion55c8,000$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.791,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Dignitas58c7,416$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.8825952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Shopify Rebellion33c6,819$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.0825038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion48c5,191$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.361,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dignitas32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Shopify Rebellion63c5,000$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,14926246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas52c4,325$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.7463546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion43c4,001$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.191,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dignitas55c3,973$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.091,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed Shopify Rebellion51c3,919$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.615848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion42c3,211$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.592,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Shopify Rebellion61c2,718$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.7515545.8%71 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Shopify Rebellion36c2,386$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.2944042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Shopify Rebellion58c2,300$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.6963161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Dignitas53c2,246$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.4921857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed Dignitas24c1,855$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.415240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Shopify Rebellion65c1,840$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1951729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Dignitas42c1,702$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.6553640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Shopify Rebellion66c1,520$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.22,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dignitas59c1,454$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.21,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Shopify Rebellion41c1,332$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.379743.3%42 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Shopify Rebellion65c1,200$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Dignitas48c1,089$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.181,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Shopify Rebellion37c1,037$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2763352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc454…07e4backed Dignitas21c1,035$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.851428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+83.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dignitas73c1,000$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.531,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Dignitas60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1211060%66 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Dignitas52c800$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.353455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Shopify Rebellion67c739.36$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4988165.4%53 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ee…26babacked Dignitas53c733.22$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.267553.3%40 W · 35 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion16c722.51$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.652,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Dignitas56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2936943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Shopify Rebellion63c696.99$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.111,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Shopify Rebellion63c687.6$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0276047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Shopify Rebellion57c635.14$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.141,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dignitas34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Dignitas45c534.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.787342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Dignitas70c511.51$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15429856.4%168 W · 130 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Shopify Rebellion40c503.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Shopify Rebellion62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Dignitas47c470.7$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6986758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Shopify Rebellion69c461.68$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31746552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Shopify Rebellion61c460.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1450643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Dignitas60c408.35$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2257947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Shopify Rebellion52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Shopify Rebellion29c399.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Dignitas53c370$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.942148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Dignitas50c363.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Shopify Rebellion64c358$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5634742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7039…7c77backed Shopify Rebellion3c324.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Shopify Rebellion30c324.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6819731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Shopify Rebellion47c317.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Dignitas42c314.49$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.781,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Shopify Rebellion22c267$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.875342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Shopify Rebellion62c264.37$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.769252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Shopify Rebellion41c250.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10280150.7%406 W · 395 L+48.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Shopify Rebellion5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213911.5%16 W · 123 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Dignitas43c246.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8415854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Shopify Rebellion41c238.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6414145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Dignitas26c228.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.571,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Dignitas67c225.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Shopify Rebellion15c205.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7944843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Dignitas49c201.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6166445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7260053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Shopify Rebellion37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7321848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Dignitas45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Shopify Rebellion15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Dignitas40c198$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1917542.3%74 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Shopify Rebellion51c196.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021747%102 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Shopify Rebellion52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Shopify Rebellion54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x337e…9b4ebacked Dignitas63c179.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.332554.8%178 W · 147 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7791…5f8abacked Shopify Rebellion14c178.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Dignitas60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6816540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Dignitas25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.516934.3%58 W · 111 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Shopify Rebellion66c154.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7433552.8%177 W · 158 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Shopify Rebellion67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,04846.1%483 W · 565 L-43.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shopify Rebellion36c144.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.751,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Shopify Rebellion32c141$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dignitas56c132.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3554054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed Dignitas50c131.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7924629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1eda…3b84backed Dignitas25c126.34$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.684443.2%19 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+72.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Dignitas40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521150.7%107 W · 104 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shopify Rebellion60c121.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.421,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Dignitas39c117.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0936260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Shopify Rebellion61c114.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Dignitas45c114$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.750845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Shopify Rebellion31c113.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Shopify Rebellion19c113.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.134740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2586649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Dignitas34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf97…4653backed Dignitas30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.