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La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$828,272
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$806,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,272 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No68c458,554$311,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,468.974852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes32c360,248$115,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,333.899748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c95,686$30,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,634.1690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No68c74,821$50,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,942.5935442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c46,779$14,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,920.074,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No68c37,660$25,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,051.149743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes32c17,500$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60024245%109 W · 133 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c14,870$4,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.992,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c13,156$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.941,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes32c11,969$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.0840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2003748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No68c10,000$6,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,22513046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes33c8,480$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.42245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No67c8,474$5,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.498334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c4,863$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.4250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes34c4,061$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.7430634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes32c4,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2901361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No68c3,800$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22614348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes34c3,757$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1557349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes34c3,143$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.69520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes34c2,835$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.0450949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes34c2,663$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.53842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes32c2,522$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.292846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes31c2,437$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.5920148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c2,372$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.041,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes32c2,266$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.1220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes32c2,163$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No75c2,161$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes11c1,891$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.94219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes34c1,585$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.795125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes31c1,438$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.3115246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes34c1,395$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c1,358$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.511,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes32c1,325$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0120452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes24c1,266$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No70c1,211$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.953458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9148…2d9ebacked Yes34c1,052$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes26c1,027$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.27431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes34c1,008$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.631030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3409656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes26c987.35$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.711735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes28c940$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.3510233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa868…9d9fbacked Yes26c920.5$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes32c915.89$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0826147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes34c880$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.22650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002425%6 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes24c838.36$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4415150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Yes21c820.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2b…d262backed Yes34c812.05$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Yes32c718.54$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.933455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes33c699.86$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.954447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes31c674.31$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.597632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No66c646.21$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7113845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Yes34c642.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.541729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes32c608.02$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6742851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19822839.9%91 W · 137 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19221626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked No67c592.54$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.544862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes32c548.67$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.269354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c543$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Yes32c540.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.961553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Yes32c540.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes33c484.85$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72e6…7bf4backed Yes15c480$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes30c466.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Yes32c464.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes32c438.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes24c436.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.831827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No71c425.17$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0612156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes20c420.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.21060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes23c405.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No60c399.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No66c389.55$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c389.52$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.951,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes32c379.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes33c370.93$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.414146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes34c360.8$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes33c355.08$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4913648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes36c347.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257030%21 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes33c347.18$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.574647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes33c343.03$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.210153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes25c330.77$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes16c316.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes32c315$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.84843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.