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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,476 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked 3DMAX56c141,578$79,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,705.0142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Liquid43c71,106$30,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,575.6722049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Liquid44c42,261$18,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,594.7623740.9%97 W · 140 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked 3DMAX56c36,500$20,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,144.9939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Liquid24c36,153$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,669.831126.4%82 W · 229 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked 3DMAX72c13,220$9,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,664.5515760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Liquid44c7,106$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.648444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Liquid44c6,669$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.0912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid44c6,539$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.1582251.6%424 W · 398 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked 3DMAX70c5,747$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.9716448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Liquid45c5,653$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.9111240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Liquid45c5,467$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46010251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Liquid18c5,417$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-85.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed 3DMAX72c5,328$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.831,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Liquid45c5,156$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked 3DMAX55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9722550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed 3DMAX74c4,959$3,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.9416152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid27c4,820$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.671,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX51c4,509$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.4272453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX78c4,221$3,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.562,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked 3DMAX57c4,000$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.181681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Liquid44c3,853$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.227947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2cb…d235backed 3DMAX71c3,800$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Liquid49c3,781$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.539256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked 3DMAX61c3,282$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.915545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Liquid44c3,182$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40032948.3%159 W · 170 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Liquid44c3,169$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.5114441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f40…e1f2backed 3DMAX56c2,595$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.654351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Liquid44c2,535$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.3924846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Liquid20c2,363$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46554837.4%205 W · 343 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01279740%319 W · 478 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Liquid44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0128847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX78c2,234$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.53,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked 3DMAX58c2,106$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-62.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX68c2,079$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid44c2,068$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.218,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,09451.1%559 W · 535 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71fa…c7e1backed 3DMAX56c1,987$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.042339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Liquid21c1,961$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed 3DMAX68c1,854$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.068944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Liquid44c1,790$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.69954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Liquid43c1,790$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.6929446.9%138 W · 156 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Liquid45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72010345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed 3DMAX55c1,430$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.6746058.7%270 W · 190 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Liquid45c1,424$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Liquid37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442,24447.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed 3DMAX57c1,145$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.215261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Liquid9c1,133$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid28c1,129$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.893,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Liquid36c1,106$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Liquid44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Liquid26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608860.2%53 W · 35 L+12.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Liquid45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45027133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked 3DMAX74c982.43$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.92646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 3DMAX73c977.36$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.512,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Liquid39c942.05$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.155349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed 3DMAX63c933.04$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.0432653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed Liquid33c895.92$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.516020%12 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Liquid45c854.02$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.316043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Liquid45c844.44$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38045443.4%197 W · 257 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid31c841.2$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.771,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid27c826.44$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.044,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed 3DMAX56c824.41$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.748053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Liquid27c799.98$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.996033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked 3DMAX58c796.89$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.4514971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed 3DMAX78c794.53$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1625352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked 3DMAX56c776.98$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8714853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Liquid29c768$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.728065%52 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid36c706.71$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.975,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33645457%259 W · 195 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Liquid27c697.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9125039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Liquid44c647.07$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7717042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid22c643$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.892,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Liquid37c637$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.666546.8%311 W · 354 L+17.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed 3DMAX60c618.95$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4212259.8%73 W · 49 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Liquid33c614.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.621656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Liquid19c600$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid34c584.23$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.085,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked 3DMAX56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.718840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Liquid45c535.56$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24169635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed 3DMAX67c531.66$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6728254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Liquid22c516.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.544759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22581944.4%364 W · 455 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed 3DMAX78c493.41$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9674…1302backed 3DMAX56c465.57$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.858748.3%42 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked 3DMAX56c457.14$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.148150.6%41 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked 3DMAX56c453.57$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5718549.7%92 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed 3DMAX64c407.4$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8416947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Liquid49c407$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1613845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid35c407$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.791,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 3DMAX61c405.32$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.231,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Liquid26c400.51$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.873,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed 3DMAX70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12039851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked 3DMAX56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Liquid44c399.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Liquid21c355.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Liquid44c306.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13561142.7%261 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Liquid8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2435645.2%161 W · 195 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Liquid44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.