CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1463048cc549f8634d51bf1fe16c0dd06159cea8dad924d238cf4f4ec7530742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,498 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88cb…ffccbacked Under | 52c | 5,007$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…5ca8backed Over | 48c | 5,007$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Under | 49c | 1,782$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.84 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 51c | 1,667$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 54c | 918.8$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 41c | 645.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.37 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 45c | 599.78$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 50c | 403.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 50c | 319.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 56c | 307$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 36c | 305.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed Over | 35c | 283.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 59c | 237.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 45c | 209.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked Over | 45c | 198.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 171.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 145.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 35c | 128.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Under | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…79cdbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e3…7311backed Over | 52c | 56.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…18bfbacked Over | 50c | 52.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked Over | 45c | 49.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…895cbacked Under | 57c | 45.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 43c | 45.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 51c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 37c | 36.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 13DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.