TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,511 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Liquid19c7,117$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.7230726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 3DMAX46c5,495$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.7342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Liquid56c4,955$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.228444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid11c4,050$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.591,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX79c3,316$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.223,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Liquid46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 3DMAX57c2,888$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.1435850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid33c2,375$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.465,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid15c2,011$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4944657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Liquid25c2,000$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Liquid26c1,979$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.6141069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked 3DMAX64c1,949$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.1515760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid26c1,869$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked 3DMAX66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.155545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4564…c051backed Liquid15c1,443$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Liquid53c1,324$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.849256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed 3DMAX46c1,292$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.558944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Liquid7c1,240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.972,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid20c1,208$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.852,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Liquid25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid44c1,186$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.412,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed Liquid1c1,131$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1824339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Liquid54c1,120$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.836645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71fa…c7e1backed 3DMAX45c1,108$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.522339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Liquid55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60514847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed 3DMAX65c1,038$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.111,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Liquid2c1,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0625416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Liquid37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.995261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 3DMAX44c933.8$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.065,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa9…ed7dbacked Liquid11c869.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.722347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Liquid42c803.4$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33834146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX50c800$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3984,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked 3DMAX44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.4510251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed 3DMAX63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6520838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed 3DMAX54c743.46$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.421,54633.8%523 W · 1,023 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed Liquid41c699.99$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 3DMAX55c600.01$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.83,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX62c490.38$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.712,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03b…c2c6backed 3DMAX42c480$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.42250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked Liquid58c480$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1854…be98backed 3DMAX42c460$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed Liquid58c460$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked 3DMAX44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.557448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked 3DMAX46c435.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6518049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Liquid40c416.3$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.528562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 3DMAX71c408.59$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.021,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX66c400$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.81,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd600…b431backed Liquid7c349.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid24c346.31$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.781,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Liquid58c346$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed 3DMAX42c283$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.142347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed Liquid58c283$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.143040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid42c281$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.021,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked 3DMAX58c272.28$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0910345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Liquid10c256.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2369624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Liquid49c234.16$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7434542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Liquid11c219.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…ec93backed Liquid13c208.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.283754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked 3DMAX58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8413845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68c…025abacked 3DMAX44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid55c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Liquid51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Liquid33c195.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.192152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb61…2730backed Liquid58c195.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX61c181$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0e…7cd8backed Liquid16c175$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Liquid47c153.38$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid51c147.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed 3DMAX63c132.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.983443.6%364 W · 470 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked 3DMAX44c128.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1426836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…895cbacked Liquid28c124.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked 3DMAX78c121.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7933457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked 3DMAX43c117.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.414835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Liquid18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Liquid14c107.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155149%25 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff24…91fabacked Liquid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked 3DMAX76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2429154%157 W · 134 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Liquid27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Liquid47c99.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9960748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Liquid15c99.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5417836.5%65 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd371…7ea5backed Liquid41c90.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Liquid53c88.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8953244.9%239 W · 293 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX63c88.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 3DMAX54c85.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.285,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked 3DMAX42c71.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.763834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed 3DMAX44c66.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.283847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Liquid49c63.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed Liquid16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105635.7%20 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324d…3166backed 3DMAX78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed 3DMAX55c58.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1644743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b0…da5cbacked 3DMAX55c55.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.922951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Liquid25c54.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.739047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed 3DMAX75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.547065.1%306 W · 164 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Liquid42c45.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Liquid56c43.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3319155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed 3DMAX45c41.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.563748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed 3DMAX63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6860258.5%352 W · 250 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Liquid34c37.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.843,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.