CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e77f281ce4f006a7cf5c327fc0421d78eed41f07c198164449d49416637882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd72…8dd1backed Astralis | 54c | 21,347$11,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,476 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Astralis | 59c | 14,988$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 58c | 11,858$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Legacy | 41c | 10,793$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340.83 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Legacy | 40c | 7,339$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.44 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy | 44c | 7,071$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.79 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Legacy | 52c | 6,938$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.6 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Legacy | 46c | 6,588$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.79 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Legacy | 44c | 6,417$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.27 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Astralis | 56c | 6,400$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.25 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Astralis | 54c | 5,362$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.95 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Legacy | 61c | 5,007$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.76 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Astralis | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Astralis | 31c | 4,008$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.53 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Legacy | 43c | 3,884$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.51 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis | 65c | 3,277$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.37 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Legacy | 35c | 3,090$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.62 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Astralis | 60c | 3,030$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.15 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked Astralis | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Astralis | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 35c | 2,740$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.3 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy | 48c | 2,425$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.68 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Legacy | 43c | 2,246$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.38 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Legacy | 42c | 2,149$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.71 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Legacy | 55c | 2,140$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.43 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Legacy | 73c | 2,044$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.42 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis | 57c | 2,000$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.04 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Legacy | 42c | 1,967$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.31 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Legacy | 44c | 1,916$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.85 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Astralis | 56c | 1,847$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.11 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Legacy | 65c | 1,662$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.14 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy | 78c | 1,156$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Legacy | 42c | 1,141$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.8 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 55c | 1,070$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.2 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 55c | 1,062$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 56c | 1,053$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.79 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed Astralis | 50c | 1,023$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.43 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Legacy | 44c | 999.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Astralis | 56c | 968.06$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed Astralis | 21c | 952.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Astralis | 56c | 944.83$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.76 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Astralis | 60c | 839.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Astralis | 41c | 824$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.55 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Legacy | 69c | 819.54$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.06 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Astralis | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Astralis | 48c | 765.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Legacy | 55c | 689$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Legacy | 62c | 675.16$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.9 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Astralis | 56c | 624.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Astralis | 67c | 613.61$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.91 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Astralis | 33c | 606.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Legacy | 44c | 604.09$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Astralis | 56c | 601.21$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.16 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Astralis | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Astralis | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Legacy | 52c | 581.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 38c | 548.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.16 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Astralis | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Astralis | 31c | 526.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Astralis | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Legacy | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Legacy | 65c | 499.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.15 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked Astralis | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 33c | 463$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Astralis | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 5c | 412.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…f5b4backed Astralis | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Astralis | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Astralis | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 259 | 50.6%131 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Legacy | 47c | 376$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Legacy | 69c | 375.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf605…8811backed Legacy | 46c | 371$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…5aa9backed Legacy | 46c | 358$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Legacy | 46c | 350.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.95 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…482dbacked Legacy | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis | 35c | 346.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 453 | 57.2%259 W · 194 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Astralis | 29c | 345.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…ad31backed Astralis | 54c | 341$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…f0fabacked Astralis | 54c | 339$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Astralis | 59c | 336.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…6003backed Legacy | 46c | 332$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…f78ebacked Legacy | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…d04abacked Astralis | 54c | 330$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…bacbbacked Astralis | 54c | 315$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…de8fbacked Astralis | 54c | 306$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Astralis | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 234 | 33.3%78 W · 156 L | -22.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b2…c3b5backed Legacy | 46c | 298$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…3333backed Astralis | 54c | 268$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa780…6976backed Legacy | 46c | 254$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2a…2b25backed Legacy | 46c | 252$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Astralis | 55c | 247.34$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Astralis | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Astralis | 55c | 239.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Legacy | 50c | 235.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…3b75backed Legacy | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…4b6dbacked Legacy | 46c | 226$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.