Earnings · resolved market
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfebd318c824a96735531c7b927e04fb2e48696b496158db69043b7e40ae194b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2d7…31cabacked Yes | 70c | 2,888$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 32c | 2,266$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.37 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 61c | 841.94$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.9 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 28c | 514.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 30c | 491.56$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 33c | 410.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 214.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 71c | 191.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 31c | 162.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed No | 22c | 153.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 73c | 145.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 44c | 133.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 60c | 118.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…c110backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…537dbacked Yes | 76c | 81.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 39c | 76.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 30c | 74.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 71c | 70.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb918…0158backed No | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…918dbacked Yes | 74c | 67.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…cc1cbacked No | 24c | 66.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 63.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…9850backed No | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 63c | 56.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…d842backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed Yes | 56c | 36.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…fa61backed No | 39c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…cc07backed Yes | 72c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…d823backed Yes | 72c | 13.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.