MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5178ff54fb4ffa597c96d1795b03eb5571151b571be5d29a42b386ac500f4df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Blue Jays, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Blue Jays | 51c | 279,606$142,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,054.32 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Orioles | 49c | 250,888$122,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,952.88 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 49c | 163,151$80,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,505.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Blue Jays | 51c | 39,163$19,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,973.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 28,271$11,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 23,000$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Blue Jays | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 51c | 19,493$9,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880.97 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 55c | 16,954$9,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,262.84 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 48c | 15,842$7,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,189.69 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 50c | 12,874$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,437.18 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Orioles | 79c | 8,837$6,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.6 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.95 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 49c | 7,378$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.85 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 51c | 6,102$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Orioles | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 49c | 5,891$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 14c | 5,885$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9bffbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Orioles | 46c | 5,123$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 4,961$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…db1dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 4,445$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Orioles | 48c | 4,444$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b4…a5ebbacked Orioles | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 28c | 4,049$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Orioles | 80c | 3,970$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…c2aebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 3,919$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 50c | 3,570$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.97 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…2ffdbacked Orioles | 46c | 3,479$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 51c | 3,428$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.81 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 48c | 3,300$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays | 49c | 3,227$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.73 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Orioles | 80c | 3,135$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.48 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Blue Jays | 50c | 3,100$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,841$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 26c | 2,510$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.63 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Orioles | 55c | 2,379$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.74 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…cb64backed Orioles | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…c2dfbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Orioles | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…83bbbacked Orioles | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.93 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…b433backed Orioles | 51c | 1,958$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays | 20c | 1,793$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 7c | 1,790$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Blue Jays | 2c | 1,708$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,680$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 72c | 1,609$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 17c | 1,558$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Orioles | 45c | 1,507$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.11 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 51c | 1,495$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.6 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 1c | 1,411$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Orioles | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,345$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.95 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 48c | 1,314$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 33c | 1,301$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.04 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Orioles | 70c | 1,294$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,289$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Blue Jays | 51c | 1,258$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.34 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,237$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.61 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Orioles | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…3865backed Orioles | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 46c | 1,194$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.95 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Orioles | 76c | 1,110$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Orioles | 79c | 1,061$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…5d11backed Orioles | 46c | 1,059$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…05febacked Orioles | 46c | 1,039$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…d4b2backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Orioles | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Orioles | 46c | 979.98$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.19 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Blue Jays | 51c | 979.51$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 26c | 973.19$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 964.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.44 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…cf6ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 962$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 935.81$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 931.37$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Blue Jays | 50c | 927.1$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.44 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 904$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.04 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 47c | 846.57$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.68 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 47c | 800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.02 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 47c | 794.89$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.29 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 28c | 780$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Orioles | 45c | 706.56$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.61 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 50c | 702.22$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 38c | 693.32$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Orioles | 54c | 674.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Blue Jays | 10c | 610$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.