Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Celtic end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d803b27eaf949abf4683b7f3807f66725cf9fc7e60a5a57710ccc48b535e392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 51c | 3,887$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 47c | 2,403$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.03 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 5c | 2,152$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 73c | 2,150$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.64 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,781$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.92 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 1,097$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.38 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…8e01backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 31c | 760.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 54c | 745.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 33c | 666$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 24c | 614$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.64 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 22c | 544.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 23c | 411$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 408.7$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.7 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…e71dbacked Yes | 29c | 331$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed No | 68c | 220.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…6519backed No | 24c | 209.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 23c | 206.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 44c | 206.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 76c | 200.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 192.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 78c | 129.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 24c | 126.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 43c | 109.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 22c | 109.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked No | 78c | 96.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 72cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…e801backed Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 44c | 76.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 26c | 75.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7965…e542backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 37c | 73.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…c742backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…a57ebacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 41c | 38.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…4a31backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Celtic end in a draw?this page
- Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?No won
- Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.