TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$767,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$767,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $767,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0764…e01fbacked No37c587,569$215,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372,168.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+194.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes63c238,089$149,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,996.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes64c140,647$90,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,014.182060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes63c100,000$63,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,00017852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c31…5565backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2d…9645backed Yes0c46,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes64c44,575$28,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,5284459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes63c37,000$23,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,310728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes63c7,010$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.27042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2009857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes63c3,389$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yes56c3,304$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.433764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No38c3,139$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.073225%8 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa967…9891backed Yes62c2,840$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.965040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No42c2,424$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.613351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes42c1,783$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.7715250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes61c1,696$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.357844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes63c1,646$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0374151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No43c1,638$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.563655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked Yes62c1,609$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.434131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No37c1,499$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.2838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.9719028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes63c1,189$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.636053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes3c1,146$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes9c1,145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No38c1,111$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.829332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes53c1,069$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.762227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x290b…086cbacked Yes1c1,016$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes63c1,016$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No37c987.42$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.078848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c922.2$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.671,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No39c850.77$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.9729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes61c817.84$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes54c806.09$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.193036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No42c800$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4684351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No38c690.33$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.829837.8%37 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3784119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes38c595$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.851741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No59c584.17$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.586950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes61c577.05$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No38c499.98$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9912330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes62c403.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes58c347.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb969…e149backed Yes62c340.98$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Yes62c329.5$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.291250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes40c306.76$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed No39c255.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.152544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes62c251.88$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes63c250.79$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No40c248.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8324455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes43c234.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x445e…4426backed Yes51c219.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.13348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No39c199.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.996451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes62c184.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3312938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b2b…4291backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x123a…e801backed Yes47c180$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Yes63c169.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f5…e71dbacked Yes28c168$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+71.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba7…2cdbbacked Yes61c165$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf69…b3ffbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes63c156.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.443633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes26c154.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes33c137.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3f…52aebacked Yes62c136.18$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes54c129.37$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No39c128.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.195459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b20…513fbacked Yes62c128.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…7081backed Yes55c123.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No46c111.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3514044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes57c110$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.710850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa87…cde9backed Yes62c109.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes61c105.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes63c105.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306431.3%20 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6317322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6219344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes61c95.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.081643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.81764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+105%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d4…e199backed Yes64c79.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878d…c009backed Yes64c78.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.