Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d38d59f951edac70d7a78ca7e8783f945efe88a47a27d600e9132c4c65671d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b2d…9645backed Yes | 0c | 23,025$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…5565backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…66cabacked Yes | 1c | 6,155$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 5,150$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 17c | 2,324$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.73 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 17c | 1,593$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 18c | 1,486$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 4c | 1,190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…c5fabacked Yes | 18c | 621.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Yes | 19c | 588$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 19c | 527.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…df1ebacked Yes | 17c | 470$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Yes | 16c | 444.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 16c | 438.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 18c | 358.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 17c | 315.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 12c | 301.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Yes | 17c | 294.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 16c | 145.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 13c | 142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 17c | 122.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…1b63backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 18c | 111.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 16c | 108.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 17c | 93.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes | 17c | 69.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…9a9dbacked Yes | 15c | 67.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 19c | 64.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 19c | 52.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-08-26?this page
- Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?No won
- Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Celtic end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.