TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Red Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Dodgers, Red Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,20054051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox60c16,936$10,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,764.1786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox57c8,605$4,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,668.962,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Dodgers40c7,956$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2003953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Dodgers45c6,690$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox71c5,378$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.2441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox60c4,252$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.7444456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox71c3,959$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.9456451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Red Sox56c3,666$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.3597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox42c3,605$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.51,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Dodgers30c3,334$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox56c3,186$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.151,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Dodgers42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.997548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Red Sox58c2,581$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0846660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Dodgers42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox57c2,310$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.2743654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Red Sox58c2,111$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.6211555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Dodgers61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Dodgers40c1,826$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox54c1,613$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.439,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers39c1,555$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.321,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Red Sox61c1,555$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.327651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Dodgers40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Red Sox58c1,076$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Dodgers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers22c937$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.331,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Dodgers44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox70c904.5$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.122,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Dodgers43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3441,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Dodgers40c752$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox60c718$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.226355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Dodgers41c708$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Dodgers46c664.04$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.57143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Dodgers41c642$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers42c638.36$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1130842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox59c612.66$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Dodgers33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers43c600$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox57c512$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.161,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Dodgers43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers22c487.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers43c477.26$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2222142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Dodgers45c465.4$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0410…6556backed Dodgers44c463.86$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.15244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox56c455.82$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Dodgers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Red Sox57c441.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0510550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Red Sox57c435.98$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.477847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18c…dfa5backed Dodgers44c381.82$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers38c363.4$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.474,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Dodgers25c349.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8911637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dodgers41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox55c289.58$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.945,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Dodgers43c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox64c241.77$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Dodgers42c239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Red Sox68c235.2$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2712868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Red Sox59c233.9$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Dodgers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02de…44e6backed Dodgers44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Dodgers49c214.32$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2211560%69 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Dodgers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8624951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8634051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…3e4ebacked Dodgers19c191.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Red Sox57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0864…b3d0backed Dodgers40c174.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Red Sox73c172.35$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2319052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Red Sox60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Dodgers14c161.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.992242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.962,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Dodgers41c157.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3825364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Dodgers16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6392754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox70c149.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0332754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd971…4471backed Dodgers61c142.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.874768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Dodgers42c141.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8131547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Red Sox73c130.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0927458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d6…1733backed Dodgers33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012940.3%52 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Dodgers41c118$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c2…eb6cbacked Dodgers43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox57c114.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2423753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Dodgers40c111$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.424351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers59c109.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9860052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Red Sox57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.261,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Dodgers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4366751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c4…25e7backed Dodgers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Dodgers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4331244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Dodgers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d0…8fe4backed Dodgers43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed Dodgers42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1688…78bdbacked Red Sox58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Dodgers28c99.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Red Sox59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.820851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.